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CheckWeather UKLincoln
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Lincoln weather

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Light drizzle,cooler tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model put Lincoln's high today between 23° and 25°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 20°, with a 13% chance of rain.

24°13°
20°16°
18°12°
18°11°
19°10°
21°13°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±3°
Met OfficeUKMO model
25°
Light drizzle
Today 25°·Low 13°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
23°
Light drizzle
Today 23°·Low 12°·Rain 63%
AmericanNOAA GFS
25°
Light drizzle
Today 25°·Low 13°·Rain 17%

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Lincoln and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
24° 13°
±3°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
20° 16°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
18° 12°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
18° 11°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
19° 10°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
21° 13°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
20° 10°
±4°
Sun
Drizzle
22° 15°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
22° 14°
±6°
Tue
Light rain
21° 14°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
19° 11°
±5°
Thu
Light drizzle
20° 10°
±7°
Fri
Light drizzle
18° 11°
±4°
Sat
Light drizzle
18°
±5°

Lincoln, England is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 21°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 883 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Lincoln right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Lincoln climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
10°
Mar
11°
Apr
12°
May
17°
Jun
20°
11°
Jul
20°
13°
Aug
21°
13°
Sep
20°
12°
Oct
15°
Nov
10°
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Lincoln?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C99±0.4 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
91
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C97±1.1 mph8994% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #3
77±1.3°C89±3.3 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°23° to 25°±46%17% to 63% chance
Tomorrow±1°20° to 21°±5%8% to 13% chance
Tue±1°17° to 18°±4%45% to 49% chance
Wed±1°18° to 19°±1%9% to 10% chance
Thu±2°17° to 20°±9%17% to 26% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Lincoln

today, local time
Sunrise
06:20
Sunset
19:40
Daylight
13h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Lincoln today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Lincoln today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Lincoln today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Lincoln and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Lincoln?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Lincoln (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the Met Office at 91. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Lincoln?
August is typically the warmest month in Lincoln, with average highs around 21°C.
How cold does Lincoln get?
The coldest month in Lincoln is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Lincoln get?
Lincoln sees roughly 883 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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