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CheckWeather UKPoole
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Poole weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 23° in Poole today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 22°, with a 13% chance of rain.

23°13°
22°17°
20°13°
19°11°
19°12°
22°14°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°Fridaysplit ±4°
Met OfficeUKMO model
22°
Cloudy
Today 22°·Low 13°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
22°
Light drizzle
Today 22°·Low 14°·Rain 75%
AmericanNOAA GFS
24°
Light drizzle
Today 24°·Low 13°·Rain 6%

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Poole and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
23° 13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
22° 17°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
20° 13°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
19° 11°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
19° 12°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
22° 14°
±4°
Sat
Light drizzle
21° 10°
±4°
Sun
Heavy drizzle
22° 15°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
22° 13°
±4°
Tue
Drizzle
21° 14°
±5°
Wed
Drizzle
20° 11°
±6°
Thu
Drizzle
21° 11°
±9°
Fri
Drizzle
22° 13°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
20° 12°
±8°

Poole, England is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 20°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 3°C), with roughly 1066 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Poole right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Poole climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
10°
Mar
11°
Apr
12°
May
17°
10°
Jun
20°
12°
Jul
20°
14°
Aug
20°
14°
Sep
19°
13°
Oct
16°
11°
Nov
12°
Dec
11°

Which forecast is most accurate in Poole?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
Met Office logo
Met Office ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
88±0.7°C96±1.4 mph7687% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
European logo
European
84
/100rank #2
84±0.9°C95±1.5 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
75
/100rank #3
72±1.6°C92±2.6 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°22° to 24°±69%6% to 75% chance
Tomorrow±1°22° to 23°±10%3% to 13% chance
Tue±1°20° to 20°±9%61% to 70% chance
Wed±2°18° to 20°±5%2% to 7% chance
Thu±3°18° to 20°±13%19% to 32% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Poole

today, local time
Sunrise
06:29
Sunset
19:42
Daylight
13h 13m

Common questions

What's the weather in Poole today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Poole today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Poole today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Poole and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Poole?
Over the last 30 days, the Met Office model has been the most accurate for Poole (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the European at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Poole?
June is typically the warmest month in Poole, with average highs around 20°C.
How cold does Poole get?
The coldest month in Poole is January, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Poole get?
Poole sees roughly 1066 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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