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CheckWeather UKPenrith
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Penrith weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 19° in Penrith today. Tomorrow looks rain around 17°, with a 92% chance of rain.

19°11°
17°12°
13°10°
16°
17°
16°11°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
20°
Drizzle
Today 20°·Low 11°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
19°
Light drizzle
Today 19°·Low 11°·Rain 84%
AmericanNOAA GFS
19°
Light rain
Today 19°·Low 10°·Rain 81%

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Penrith and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
19° 11°
models agree
Tomorrow
Rain
17° 12°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
13° 10°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
17°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
16° 11°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
16°
models agree
Sun
Light rain
17° 13°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
17° 11°
±3°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
15° 10°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
15°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
15°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
14°
±5°

Penrith, England is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 18°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 1°C), with roughly 1358 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Penrith right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Penrith climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
10°
May
16°
Jun
18°
Jul
17°
11°
Aug
17°
11°
Sep
16°
Oct
12°
Nov
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Penrith?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C98±0.7 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
86
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C95±1.6 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
81
/100rank #3
77±1.3°C96±1.1 mph7687% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°19° to 20°±3%81% to 84% chance
Tomorrow±1°17° to 17°±15%77% to 92% chance
Tuemodels agree13° to 14°±19%77% to 96% chance
Wed±1°16° to 17°±6%20% to 26% chance
Thu±1°16° to 17°±16%46% to 62% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Penrith

today, local time
Sunrise
06:27
Sunset
19:51
Daylight
13h 24m

Common questions

What's the weather in Penrith today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Penrith today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Penrith today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Penrith and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Penrith?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Penrith (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the American at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Penrith?
June is typically the warmest month in Penrith, with average highs around 18°C.
How cold does Penrith get?
The coldest month in Penrith is January, when overnight lows average about 1°C.
How much rain does Penrith get?
Penrith sees roughly 1358 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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