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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Long Eaton weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 15° in Long Eaton today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 11°, with a 71% chance of rain.

15°7°
11°8°
16°7°
16°9°
15°9°
12°8°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°
Met OfficeUKMO model
10°
Drizzle
Feels 6° · Wind 17 mph · Humidity 90%
EuropeanECMWF
10°
Light rain
Feels 5° · Wind 17 mph · Humidity 93%
AmericanNOAA GFS
11°
Drizzle
Feels 4° · Wind 24 mph · Humidity 85%

Latest for Long Eaton: Met Office (UKMO model): 10° Drizzle · European (ECMWF): 10° Light rain · American (NOAA GFS): 11° Drizzle.

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Long Eaton weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for East Midlands

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for East Midlands…

Long Eaton weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Long Eaton swings 20°C across the year, from 21°C highs in August to 1°C lows in February, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 664 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 13 days a year at 25°C or above, 1 of them at 30°C or above, 31 frost nights, and rain on 144 days.

Warmest month
August
21°C average high
Coldest month
February
1°C average low
Wettest month
October
664 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
48,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
96/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
13 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
31 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
144 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Long Eaton’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Long Eaton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Long Eaton hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Long Eaton 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
15° 7°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
11° 8°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
16° 7°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
16° 9°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
15° 9°
models agree
Thu
Fog
12° 8°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
13° 8°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
12° 6°
±2°
Sun
Partly cloudy
12° 6°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
11° 6°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
10° 6°
±2°
Wed
Light drizzle
9° 3°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
8° 1°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
8° 2°
±5°

Long Eaton, England is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 21°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around 1°C), with roughly 664 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Long Eaton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Long Eaton climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
8°
2°
Feb
7°
1°
Mar
9°
3°
Apr
12°
5°
May
15°
7°
Jun
19°
10°
Jul
20°
12°
Aug
21°
13°
Sep
18°
10°
Oct
14°
7°
Nov
9°
4°
Dec
7°
3°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Long Eaton has changed since 1995

Long Eaton sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Nottingham. That square ran 0.5°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Nottingham page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Long Eaton?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C98±0.5 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
79
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C97±1.0 mph5877% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
72
/100rank #3
75±1.4°C87±4.0 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°14° to 16°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree11° to 12°±38%33% to 71% chance
Mon±1°16° to 17°±7%93% to 100% chance
Tue±1°16° to 17°±19%48% to 67% chance
Wed±1°14° to 15°±93%7% to 100% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Long Eaton

today, local time
Sunrise
07:47
Sunset
17:50
Daylight
10h 3m

Common questions

What's the weather in Long Eaton today?
Saturday 24 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 15° in Long Eaton today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 11°, with a 71% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Long Eaton today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Long Eaton on Sunday 25 October: Met Office 33%, European 71%, American 44%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Long Eaton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Long Eaton (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the Met Office at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Long Eaton?
August is typically the warmest month in Long Eaton, with average highs around 21°C.
How cold does Long Eaton get?
The coldest month in Long Eaton is February, when overnight lows average about 1°C.
How much rain does Long Eaton get?
Long Eaton sees roughly 664 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

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