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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Londonderry County Borough weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 12° in Londonderry County Borough today. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 10°, with a 100% chance of rain.

12°6°
10°7°
16°6°
14°8°
13°8°
13°9°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
12°
Light rain
Today 12°·Low 6°·Rain 100%
EuropeanECMWF
12°
Light rain
Today 12°·Low 6°·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
12°
Rain
Today 12°·Low 5°·Rain 100%
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Londonderry County Borough weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for Northern Ireland

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for Northern Ireland…

Londonderry County Borough weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Londonderry County Borough swings 15°C across the year, from 17°C highs in June to 2°C lows in February, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1130 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 1 day a year at 25°C or above, 14 frost nights, and rain on 204 days.

Warmest month
June
17°C average high
Coldest month
February
2°C average low
Wettest month
January
1130 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
87,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
97/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
1 day
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
14 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
204 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Londonderry County Borough’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Londonderry County Borough and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Londonderry County Borough hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Londonderry County Borough 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
12° 6°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
10° 7°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
16° 6°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
14° 8°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
13° 8°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
13° 9°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
12° 9°
models agree
Sat
Heavy drizzle
12° 6°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
10° 7°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
10° 5°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
8° 3°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
9° 3°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
8° 2°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
10° 3°
±4°

Londonderry County Borough, Northern Ireland is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 17°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around 2°C), with roughly 1130 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Londonderry County Borough right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Londonderry County Borough climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
7°
3°
Feb
7°
2°
Mar
9°
4°
Apr
11°
4°
May
14°
7°
Jun
17°
10°
Jul
17°
11°
Aug
17°
12°
Sep
16°
9°
Oct
12°
8°
Nov
9°
4°
Dec
7°
3°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Londonderry County Borough's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.2°C

Around Londonderry County Borough, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.2°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

1995: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average1996: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average1997: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average1998: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average1999: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2000: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2001: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2002: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2003: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2004: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2005: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2006: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2007: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2008: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2009: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2010: −1.1°C vs the 30-year average2011: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2012: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2013: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2014: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2015: −0.7°C vs the 30-year average2016: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2017: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2018: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2019: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2020: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2021: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2022: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2023: +0.9°C vs the 30-year average2024: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Frost nights

5 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +10 vs the 30-year average1996: +12 vs the 30-year average1997: +1 vs the 30-year average1998: −0 vs the 30-year average1999: −7 vs the 30-year average2000: −1 vs the 30-year average2001: +11 vs the 30-year average2002: −7 vs the 30-year average2003: +1 vs the 30-year average2004: −3 vs the 30-year average2005: −7 vs the 30-year average2006: −0 vs the 30-year average2007: −6 vs the 30-year average2008: −4 vs the 30-year average2009: −1 vs the 30-year average2010: +31 vs the 30-year average2011: −0 vs the 30-year average2012: −5 vs the 30-year average2013: +20 vs the 30-year average2014: −5 vs the 30-year average2015: −3 vs the 30-year average2016: −7 vs the 30-year average2017: −2 vs the 30-year average2018: +6 vs the 30-year average2019: −5 vs the 30-year average2020: −7 vs the 30-year average2021: −0 vs the 30-year average2022: −6 vs the 30-year average2023: −1 vs the 30-year average2024: −7 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−2%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +3% vs the 30-year average1996: −2% vs the 30-year average1997: −2% vs the 30-year average1998: +6% vs the 30-year average1999: +6% vs the 30-year average2000: +1% vs the 30-year average2001: −5% vs the 30-year average2002: +3% vs the 30-year average2003: −2% vs the 30-year average2004: +3% vs the 30-year average2005: +3% vs the 30-year average2006: −0% vs the 30-year average2007: +1% vs the 30-year average2008: +5% vs the 30-year average2009: +1% vs the 30-year average2010: −13% vs the 30-year average2011: +3% vs the 30-year average2012: −3% vs the 30-year average2013: +1% vs the 30-year average2014: −3% vs the 30-year average2015: +6% vs the 30-year average2016: −3% vs the 30-year average2017: −0% vs the 30-year average2018: −0% vs the 30-year average2019: −2% vs the 30-year average2020: +5% vs the 30-year average2021: −10% vs the 30-year average2022: −0% vs the 30-year average2023: −3% vs the 30-year average2024: −0% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.1°C+10+3%
1996−0.8°C+12−2%
1997+0.3°C+1−2%
1998±0.0°C−0+6%
1999±0.0°C−7+6%
2000−0.3°C−1+1%
2001−0.5°C+11−5%
2002±0.0°C−7+3%
2003+0.2°C+1−2%
2004+0.1°C−3+3%
2005+0.3°C−7+3%
2006+0.3°C−0−0%
2007+0.4°C−6+1%
2008−0.2°C−4+5%
2009−0.1°C−1+1%
2010−1.1°C+31−13%
2011±0.0°C−0+3%
2012−0.5°C−5−3%
2013−0.5°C+20+1%
2014+0.1°C−5−3%
2015−0.7°C−3+6%
2016−0.2°C−7−3%
2017+0.1°C−2−0%
2018−0.2°C+6−0%
2019±0.0°C−5−2%
2020−0.1°C−7+5%
2021+0.3°C−0−10%
2022+0.6°C−6−0%
2023+0.9°C−1−3%
2024+0.4°C−7−0%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Londonderry County Borough, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Londonderry County Borough?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C98±0.8 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
88
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C90±3.1 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
85
/100rank #3
89±0.6°C90±3.3 mph7687% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°12° to 12°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±2°9° to 11°±10%90% to 100% chance
Mon±1°16° to 16°±10%90% to 100% chance
Tue±2°13° to 15°±20%80% to 100% chance
Wed±1°12° to 13°±56%44% to 100% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Londonderry County Borough

today, local time
Sunrise
08:16
Sunset
18:09
Daylight
9h 53m

Common questions

What's the weather in Londonderry County Borough today?
Saturday 24 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 12° in Londonderry County Borough today. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 10°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Londonderry County Borough today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Londonderry County Borough on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 90% (Met Office 100%, European 100%, American 90%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Londonderry County Borough?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Londonderry County Borough (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the American at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Londonderry County Borough?
June is typically the warmest month in Londonderry County Borough, with average highs around 17°C.
How cold does Londonderry County Borough get?
The coldest month in Londonderry County Borough is February, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Londonderry County Borough get?
Londonderry County Borough sees roughly 1130 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.
Is Londonderry County Borough getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Londonderry County Borough, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.2°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

Nearby

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