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CheckWeather UKColeraine
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Coleraine weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 20° in Coleraine today. Tomorrow looks rain around 16°, with a 77% chance of rain.

20°14°
16°11°
14°10°
16°11°
17°11°
15°10°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
20°
Light drizzle
Today 20°·Low 15°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
20°
Light drizzle
Today 20°·Low 15°·Rain 84%
AmericanNOAA GFS
20°
Light drizzle
Today 20°·Low 14°·Rain 81%

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Coleraine and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
20° 14°
models agree
Tomorrow
Rain
16° 11°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
14° 10°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
16° 11°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
17° 11°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
15° 10°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
17°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
17° 11°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
17° 11°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
15°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
16°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
15°
±3°

Coleraine, Northern Ireland is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 17°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 3°C), with roughly 1292 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Coleraine right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Coleraine climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
11°
May
15°
Jun
17°
11°
Jul
17°
11°
Aug
17°
12°
Sep
16°
11°
Oct
14°
Nov
10°
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Coleraine?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
89±0.6°C96±1.3 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
81
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C96±1.3 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
80
/100rank #3
85±0.8°C93±2.2 mph6581% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°20° to 20°±3%81% to 84% chance
Tomorrow±1°15° to 17°±4%73% to 77% chance
Tue±1°14° to 15°±11%88% to 99% chance
Wed±1°15° to 16°±1%30% to 31% chance
Thu±1°17° to 17°±13%52% to 65% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Coleraine

today, local time
Sunrise
06:42
Sunset
20:07
Daylight
13h 25m

Common questions

What's the weather in Coleraine today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Coleraine today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Coleraine today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Coleraine and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Coleraine?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Coleraine (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the American at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Coleraine?
June is typically the warmest month in Coleraine, with average highs around 17°C.
How cold does Coleraine get?
The coldest month in Coleraine is January, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Coleraine get?
Coleraine sees roughly 1292 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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