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Larkfield weather

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Met OfficeUKMO model
12°
Rain
Feels 9° · Wind 14 mph · Humidity 90%
EuropeanECMWF
11°
Light rain
Feels 7° · Wind 19 mph · Humidity 91%
AmericanNOAA GFS
12°
Heavy drizzle
Feels 7° · Wind 21 mph · Humidity 93%

Latest for Larkfield: Met Office (UKMO model): 12° Rain · European (ECMWF): 11° Light rain · American (NOAA GFS): 12° Heavy drizzle.

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Larkfield weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for London & South East England

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for London & South East England…

Larkfield weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Larkfield swings 19°C across the year, from 21°C highs in July to 2°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 660 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 16 days a year at 25°C or above, 2 of them at 30°C or above, 26 frost nights, and rain on 135 days.

Warmest month
July
21°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
October
660 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
7,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
95/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
16 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
26 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
135 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Larkfield’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Larkfield and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Larkfield hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Larkfield 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Larkfield, England is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 21°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 660 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Larkfield right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Larkfield climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
8°
2°
Feb
8°
2°
Mar
9°
4°
Apr
13°
6°
May
16°
8°
Jun
20°
10°
Jul
21°
13°
Aug
21°
13°
Sep
19°
11°
Oct
15°
9°
Nov
10°
5°
Dec
7°
3°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Larkfield has changed since 1995

Larkfield sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Southend-on-Sea. That square ran 0.6°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Southend-on-Sea page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Larkfield?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C98±0.6 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
80
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C95±1.5 mph5877% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #3
85±0.8°C93±2.2 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Larkfield today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Larkfield today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Larkfield today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Larkfield and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Larkfield?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Larkfield (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the Met Office at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Larkfield?
July is typically the warmest month in Larkfield, with average highs around 21°C.
How cold does Larkfield get?
The coldest month in Larkfield is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Larkfield get?
Larkfield sees roughly 660 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

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