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CheckWeather UK›Kirkcaldy
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Kirkcaldy weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 11° in Kirkcaldy today. Tomorrow: rain, around 9°, with a 100% chance of rain.

11°3°
9°7°
14°6°
15°8°
12°7°
12°8°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±2°Thursdaysplit ±3°
Met OfficeUKMO model
11°
Rain
Today 11°·Low 4°·Rain 100%
EuropeanECMWF
10°
Light rain
Today 10°·Low 4°·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
11°
Showers
Today 11°·Low 3°·Rain 100%
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Kirkcaldy weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for Central, Tayside & Fife

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for Central, Tayside & Fife…

Kirkcaldy weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Kirkcaldy swings 16°C across the year, from 18°C highs in August to 2°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 842 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 1 day a year at 25°C or above, 25 frost nights, and rain on 165 days.

Warmest month
August
18°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
October
842 mm a year
Comfortable
3 months
June, July and August
Residents
50,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
American
96/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
1 day
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
25 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
165 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Kirkcaldy’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Kirkcaldy and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Kirkcaldy hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Kirkcaldy 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
11° 3°
models agree
Tomorrow
Rain
9° 7°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
14° 6°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
15° 8°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
12° 7°
±2°
Thu
Cloudy
12° 8°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
12° 7°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
11° 7°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
10° 8°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
11° 5°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
7° 2°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
8° 2°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
6° 1°
±2°
Fri
Light drizzle
6° 1°
±6°

Kirkcaldy, Scotland is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 18°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 842 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Kirkcaldy right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Kirkcaldy climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
6°
2°
Feb
6°
2°
Mar
8°
3°
Apr
11°
5°
May
13°
7°
Jun
16°
10°
Jul
17°
12°
Aug
18°
12°
Sep
15°
9°
Oct
12°
7°
Nov
9°
4°
Dec
6°
2°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Kirkcaldy has changed since 1995

Kirkcaldy sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Edinburgh. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Edinburgh page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Kirkcaldy?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C96±1.3 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
93
/100rank #2
96±0.2°C94±2.0 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
89
/100rank #3
92±0.4°C95±1.5 mph8290% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°10° to 11°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±2°9° to 10°models agree100% to 100% chance
Mon±1°14° to 15°±2%98% to 100% chance
Tue±1°15° to 16°±39%61% to 100% chance
Wed±2°11° to 13°±65%35% to 100% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Kirkcaldy

today, local time
Sunrise
08:02
Sunset
17:49
Daylight
9h 47m

Common questions

What's the weather in Kirkcaldy today?
Saturday 24 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 11° in Kirkcaldy today. Tomorrow: rain, around 9°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Kirkcaldy today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Kirkcaldy on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 100% (Met Office 100%, European 100%, American 100%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Kirkcaldy?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Kirkcaldy (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the European at 93. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Kirkcaldy?
August is typically the warmest month in Kirkcaldy, with average highs around 18°C.
How cold does Kirkcaldy get?
The coldest month in Kirkcaldy is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Kirkcaldy get?
Kirkcaldy sees roughly 842 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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