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CheckWeather UKHarpenden
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Harpenden weather

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Light drizzle,cooler tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 25° in Harpenden today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 22°, with a 10% chance of rain.

25°13°
22°16°
19°13°
19°10°
18°10°
21°14°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°Fridaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
26°
Light drizzle
Today 26°·Low 12°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
26°
Light drizzle
Today 26°·Low 12°·Rain 22%
AmericanNOAA GFS
25°
Light drizzle
Today 25°·Low 14°·Rain 19%

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Harpenden and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
25° 13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
22° 16°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
19° 13°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
19° 10°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
18° 10°
±3°
Fri
Drizzle
21° 14°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
22° 10°
±4°
Sun
Light drizzle
23° 15°
±4°
Mon
Cloudy
23° 13°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
22° 14°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
20° 11°
±7°
Thu
Partly cloudy
21° 11°
±9°
Fri
Light rain
17° 13°
±4°
Sat
Light drizzle
19° 10°
±6°

Harpenden, England is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 21°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 859 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Harpenden right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Harpenden climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
10°
Mar
10°
Apr
12°
May
17°
Jun
21°
11°
Jul
20°
13°
Aug
21°
13°
Sep
20°
12°
Oct
15°
Nov
10°
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Harpenden?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
Met Office logo
Met Office ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C97±1.0 mph7184% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
European logo
European
82
/100rank #2
94±0.3°C96±1.2 mph5877% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
76
/100rank #3
85±0.8°C92±2.6 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°25° to 26°±3%19% to 22% chance
Tomorrow±1°22° to 23°models agree10% to 10% chance
Tue±2°18° to 20°±14%47% to 61% chance
Wed±1°18° to 20°±1%3% to 4% chance
Thu±3°17° to 20°±9%14% to 23% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Harpenden

today, local time
Sunrise
06:21
Sunset
19:37
Daylight
13h 16m

Common questions

What's the weather in Harpenden today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Harpenden today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Harpenden today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Harpenden and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Harpenden?
Over the last 30 days, the Met Office model has been the most accurate for Harpenden (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the European at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Harpenden?
June is typically the warmest month in Harpenden, with average highs around 21°C.
How cold does Harpenden get?
The coldest month in Harpenden is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Harpenden get?
Harpenden sees roughly 859 mm of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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