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CheckWeather UKFareham
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Fareham weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model put Fareham's high today between 21° and 23°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 22°, with a 22% chance of rain.

22°14°
22°17°
20°14°
20°12°
19°13°
22°15°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°Fridaysplit ±3°
Met OfficeUKMO model
23°
Cloudy
Today 23°·Low 14°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
21°
Drizzle
Today 21°·Low 16°·Rain 41%
AmericanNOAA GFS
23°
Cloudy
Today 23°·Low 14°·Rain 6%

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Fareham and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
22° 14°
±3°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
22° 17°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
20° 14°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
20° 12°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
19° 13°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
22° 15°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
20° 11°
±4°
Sun
Light drizzle
22° 16°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
21° 14°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
22° 16°
±6°
Wed
Light drizzle
20° 13°
±5°
Thu
Light drizzle
21° 12°
±8°
Fri
Heavy drizzle
20° 14°
±4°
Sat
Light drizzle
20° 12°
±8°

Fareham, England is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 21°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 3°C), with roughly 1057 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Fareham right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Fareham climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
10°
Mar
10°
Apr
12°
May
17°
10°
Jun
20°
12°
Jul
20°
14°
Aug
21°
14°
Sep
20°
14°
Oct
16°
11°
Nov
11°
Dec
10°

Which forecast is most accurate in Fareham?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
Met Office logo
Met Office ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
83±1.0°C97±1.1 mph9597% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
European logo
European
87
/100rank #2
74±1.4°C96±1.2 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
85
/100rank #3
68±1.8°C93±2.3 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°21° to 23°±35%6% to 41% chance
Tomorrow±2°20° to 22°±12%10% to 22% chance
Tue±1°19° to 20°±10%65% to 75% chance
Wed±1°19° to 20°±6%2% to 8% chance
Thu±3°17° to 20°±2%19% to 21% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Fareham

today, local time
Sunrise
06:26
Sunset
19:39
Daylight
13h 13m

Common questions

What's the weather in Fareham today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Fareham today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Fareham today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Fareham and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Fareham?
Over the last 30 days, the Met Office model has been the most accurate for Fareham (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the European at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Fareham?
August is typically the warmest month in Fareham, with average highs around 21°C.
How cold does Fareham get?
The coldest month in Fareham is January, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Fareham get?
Fareham sees roughly 1057 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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