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Ellon weather

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Met OfficeUKMO model
9°
Drizzle
Feels 3° · Wind 23 mph · Humidity 90%
EuropeanECMWF
9°
Light rain
Feels 2° · Wind 28 mph · Humidity 88%
AmericanNOAA GFS
9°
Drizzle
Feels 0° · Wind 34 mph · Humidity 92%

Latest for Ellon: Met Office (UKMO model): 9° Drizzle · European (ECMWF): 9° Light rain · American (NOAA GFS): 9° Drizzle.

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Ellon weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for Grampian

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for Grampian…

Ellon weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Ellon swings 15°C across the year, from 17°C highs in July to 2°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 854 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 1 day a year at 25°C or above, 39 frost nights, and rain on 169 days.

Warmest month
July
17°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
October
854 mm a year
Comfortable
2 months
July and August
Residents
10,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
94/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
1 day
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
39 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
169 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Ellon’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Ellon and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Ellon hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Ellon 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Ellon, Scotland is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 17°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 854 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Ellon right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Ellon climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
6°
2°
Feb
7°
2°
Mar
8°
2°
Apr
10°
4°
May
13°
7°
Jun
15°
8°
Jul
17°
11°
Aug
17°
10°
Sep
15°
8°
Oct
12°
7°
Nov
8°
3°
Dec
6°
2°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Ellon has changed since 1995

Ellon sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Peterhead. That square ran 0.4°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Peterhead page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Ellon?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
97±0.2°C97±0.9 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
89
/100rank #2
93±0.4°C91±2.8 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
85
/100rank #3
92±0.4°C94±2.0 mph7184% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Ellon today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Ellon today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Ellon today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Ellon and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Ellon?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Ellon (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 89. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Ellon?
July is typically the warmest month in Ellon, with average highs around 17°C.
How cold does Ellon get?
The coldest month in Ellon is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Ellon get?
Ellon sees roughly 854 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

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