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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Nigg weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 10° in Nigg today. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 9°, with a 100% chance of rain.

10°3°
9°7°
12°6°
14°8°
12°8°
12°6°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
9°
Heavy drizzle
Feels 2° · Wind 25 mph · Humidity 91%
EuropeanECMWF
9°
Light rain
Feels 1° · Wind 31 mph · Humidity 91%
AmericanNOAA GFS
9°
Drizzle
Feels 0° · Wind 36 mph · Humidity 92%

Latest for Nigg: Met Office (UKMO model): 9° Heavy drizzle · European (ECMWF): 9° Light rain · American (NOAA GFS): 9° Drizzle.

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Nigg weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for Grampian

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Nigg weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Nigg swings 14°C across the year, from 16°C highs in July to 2°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 910 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 0 days a year at 25°C or above, 26 frost nights, and rain on 166 days.

Warmest month
July
16°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
October
910 mm a year
Comfortable
2 months
July and August
Residents
16,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
90/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
0 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
26 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
166 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Nigg’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Nigg and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Nigg hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Nigg 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
10° 3°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
9° 7°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
12° 6°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
14° 8°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
12° 8°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
12° 6°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
11° 8°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
11° 7°
models agree
Sun
Heavy drizzle
11° 7°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
10° 5°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
8° 4°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
7° 3°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
7° 1°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
8° 2°
±3°

Nigg, Scotland is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 16°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 910 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Nigg right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Nigg climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
6°
2°
Feb
7°
2°
Mar
8°
3°
Apr
9°
5°
May
12°
7°
Jun
15°
9°
Jul
16°
11°
Aug
16°
11°
Sep
14°
9°
Oct
11°
7°
Nov
9°
4°
Dec
7°
3°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Nigg has changed since 1995

Nigg sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Aberdeen. That square ran 0.4°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Aberdeen page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Nigg?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C94±1.8 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
79
/100rank #2
93±0.4°C92±2.4 mph5374% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
78
/100rank #3
85±0.8°C93±2.2 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°9° to 11°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°9° to 10°±26%74% to 100% chance
Mon±1°11° to 13°±13%87% to 100% chance
Tue±1°14° to 15°±50%50% to 100% chance
Wed±1°11° to 12°±20%13% to 33% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Nigg

today, local time
Sunrise
08:01
Sunset
17:42
Daylight
9h 41m

Common questions

What's the weather in Nigg today?
Saturday 24 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 10° in Nigg today. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 9°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Nigg today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Nigg on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 74% (Met Office 100%, European 96%, American 74%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Nigg?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Nigg (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the Met Office at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Nigg?
July is typically the warmest month in Nigg, with average highs around 16°C.
How cold does Nigg get?
The coldest month in Nigg is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Nigg get?
Nigg sees roughly 910 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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