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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Dungannon weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 12° in Dungannon today. Tomorrow: heavy drizzle, around 10°, with a 100% chance of rain.

12°5°
10°7°
15°5°
14°7°
13°8°
12°7°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
11°
Heavy drizzle
Feels 6° · Wind 20 mph · Humidity 83%
EuropeanECMWF
11°
Drizzle
Feels 5° · Wind 25 mph · Humidity 90%
AmericanNOAA GFS
12°
Light showers
Feels 7° · Wind 23 mph · Humidity 89%

Latest for Dungannon: Met Office (UKMO model): 11° Heavy drizzle · European (ECMWF): 11° Drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 12° Light showers.

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Dungannon weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for Northern Ireland

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for Northern Ireland…

Dungannon weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Dungannon swings 16°C across the year, from 18°C highs in July to 2°C lows in February, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1135 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 2 days a year at 25°C or above, 18 frost nights, and rain on 173 days.

Warmest month
July
18°C average high
Coldest month
February
2°C average low
Wettest month
October
1135 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
12,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
95/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
2 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
18 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
173 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Dungannon’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Dungannon and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Dungannon hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Dungannon 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
12° 5°
models agree
Tomorrow
Heavy drizzle
10° 7°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
15° 5°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
14° 7°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
13° 8°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
12° 7°
models agree
Fri
Light rain
13° 8°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
12° 6°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
10° 6°
±2°
Mon
Cloudy
10° 4°
models agree
Tue
Clear
7° 2°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
8° 2°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
7° 1°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
9° 3°
±4°

Dungannon, Northern Ireland is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 18°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around 2°C), with roughly 1135 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Dungannon right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Dungannon climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
7°
3°
Feb
8°
2°
Mar
9°
3°
Apr
11°
4°
May
15°
7°
Jun
17°
10°
Jul
18°
11°
Aug
18°
12°
Sep
16°
10°
Oct
13°
8°
Nov
9°
4°
Dec
7°
3°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Dungannon has changed since 1995

Dungannon sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Armagh. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Armagh page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Dungannon?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C97±0.8 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
88
/100rank #2
90±0.6°C92±2.4 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
85
/100rank #3
92±0.5°C87±4.1 mph7687% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°12° to 13°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°9° to 10°±29%71% to 100% chance
Mon±1°15° to 16°±6%94% to 100% chance
Tue±1°14° to 15°±39%61% to 100% chance
Wed±1°12° to 14°±30%37% to 67% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Dungannon

today, local time
Sunrise
08:13
Sunset
18:08
Daylight
9h 55m

Common questions

What's the weather in Dungannon today?
Saturday 24 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 12° in Dungannon today. Tomorrow: heavy drizzle, around 10°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Dungannon today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Dungannon on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 71% (Met Office 100%, European 100%, American 71%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Dungannon?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Dungannon (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Dungannon?
July is typically the warmest month in Dungannon, with average highs around 18°C.
How cold does Dungannon get?
The coldest month in Dungannon is February, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Dungannon get?
Dungannon sees roughly 1135 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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