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CheckWeather UKDover
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Dover weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model put Dover's high today between 22° and 24°, a 2° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 24°, with a 14% chance of rain.

23°14°
24°17°
19°14°
20°11°
19°11°
22°15°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowsplit ±3°Tuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°Fridaysplit ±2°
Met OfficeUKMO model
23°
Cloudy
Today 23°·Low 13°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
24°
Cloudy
Today 24°·Low 14°·Rain 15%
AmericanNOAA GFS
22°
Cloudy
Today 22°·Low 16°·Rain 6%

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Dover and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
23° 14°
±2°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
24° 17°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
19° 14°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
20° 11°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
19° 11°
±4°
Fri
Drizzle
22° 15°
±2°
Sat
Light drizzle
20° 13°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
22° 16°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
22° 15°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
22° 16°
models agree
Wed
Heavy drizzle
19° 15°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
20° 13°
±3°
Fri
Light rain
20° 13°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
18° 13°
models agree

Dover, England is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 21°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 4°C), with roughly 967 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Dover right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Dover climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
10°
Mar
10°
Apr
11°
May
15°
10°
Jun
18°
12°
Jul
20°
14°
Aug
21°
15°
Sep
20°
14°
Oct
16°
11°
Nov
11°
Dec
10°

Which forecast is most accurate in Dover?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
84
/100rank #1
75±1.4°C93±2.1 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C92±2.4 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
83
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C96±1.3 mph7184% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°22° to 24°±9%6% to 15% chance
Tomorrow±3°23° to 26°±2%12% to 14% chance
Tue±5°17° to 22°±17%41% to 58% chance
Wed±2°19° to 21°models agree6% to 6% chance
Thu±4°17° to 21°±1%20% to 21% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Dover

today, local time
Sunrise
06:16
Sunset
19:30
Daylight
13h 14m

Common questions

What's the weather in Dover today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Dover today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Dover today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Dover and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Dover?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Dover (CheckWeather Score 84/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Dover?
August is typically the warmest month in Dover, with average highs around 21°C.
How cold does Dover get?
The coldest month in Dover is January, when overnight lows average about 4°C.
How much rain does Dover get?
Dover sees roughly 967 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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