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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Coventry weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 15° in Coventry today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 11°, with a 67% chance of rain.

15°6°
11°8°
16°7°
16°9°
15°8°
12°8°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°
Met OfficeUKMO model
11°
Heavy drizzle
Feels 7° · Wind 17 mph · Humidity 93%
EuropeanECMWF
10°
Heavy drizzle
Feels 5° · Wind 20 mph · Humidity 95%
AmericanNOAA GFS
11°
Drizzle
Feels 4° · Wind 27 mph · Humidity 90%

Latest for Coventry: Met Office (UKMO model): 11° Heavy drizzle · European (ECMWF): 10° Heavy drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 11° Drizzle.

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Coventry weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for West Midlands

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for West Midlands…

Coventry weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Coventry swings 20°C across the year, from 21°C highs in August to 1°C lows in February, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 712 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 14 days a year at 25°C or above, 1 of them at 30°C or above, 29 frost nights, and rain on 142 days.

Warmest month
August
21°C average high
Coldest month
February
1°C average low
Wettest month
October
712 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
345,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
96/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
14 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
29 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
142 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Coventry’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Coventry and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Coventry hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Coventry 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
15° 6°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
11° 8°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
16° 7°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
16° 9°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
15° 8°
models agree
Thu
Fog
12° 8°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
13° 8°
models agree
Sat
Heavy drizzle
12° 6°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
11° 6°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
10° 5°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
10° 5°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
8° 2°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
8° 2°
±2°
Fri
Light drizzle
8° 2°
±4°

Coventry, England. Below we compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Coventry right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Coventry's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Coventry weather by month

what to expect in Coventry through the year, 1991-2020 averages

Here is Coventry's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Coventry by season.

Jan
7°
2°
Cold
Feb
7°
1°
Cold
Mar
9°
3°
Cool
Apr
12°
5°
Cool
May
16°
8°
Mild
Jun
19°
10°
Mild
Jul
20°
12°
Mild
Aug
21°
12°
Mild
Sep
17°
10°
Mild
Oct
14°
8°
Cool
Wettest
Nov
10°
4°
Cool
Dec
7°
3°
Cold

What Coventry's weather is like through the year

Coventry runs from warm summers, with August highs near 21°C, to cold winters, when February lows sit around 1°C (a swing of about 20°C across the year). October is usually the wettest month, and Coventry sees roughly 712 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Coventry

The most comfortable time to visit Coventry is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest October rain is behind you.

How the weather around Coventry has changed since 1995

Coventry sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Leicester. That square ran 0.5°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Leicester page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Coventry?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C98±0.8 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
77
/100rank #2
92±0.4°C95±1.6 mph4771% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
74
/100rank #3
88±0.7°C91±2.7 mph4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Coventry, scoring 96/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the Met Office at 77. See the full UK accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°14° to 15°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree11° to 12°±38%29% to 67% chance
Mon±1°16° to 16°±11%89% to 100% chance
Tue±1°15° to 16°±43%57% to 100% chance
Wed±1°14° to 15°±26%7% to 33% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Coventry

today, local time
Sunrise
07:47
Sunset
17:52
Daylight
10h 5m

Common questions

What's the weather in Coventry today?
Saturday 24 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 15° in Coventry today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 11°, with a 67% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Coventry today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Coventry on Sunday 25 October: Met Office 67%, European 29%, American 65%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Coventry?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Coventry (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the Met Office at 77. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Coventry?
August is typically the warmest month in Coventry, with average highs around 21°C.
How cold does Coventry get?
The coldest month in Coventry is February, when overnight lows average about 1°C.
How much rain does Coventry get?
Coventry sees roughly 712 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Coventry?
The most comfortable time to visit Coventry is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest October rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Coventry?
Rarely - Coventry very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

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