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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Congleton weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 14° in Congleton today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 10°, with a 92% chance of rain.

14°6°
10°7°
16°7°
16°8°
14°8°
12°8°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±2°
Met OfficeUKMO model
10°
Light drizzle
Feels 4° · Wind 21 mph · Humidity 91%
EuropeanECMWF
9°
Heavy drizzle
Feels 4° · Wind 23 mph · Humidity 95%
AmericanNOAA GFS
10°
Drizzle
Feels 3° · Wind 26 mph · Humidity 92%

Latest for Congleton: Met Office (UKMO model): 10° Light drizzle · European (ECMWF): 9° Heavy drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 10° Drizzle.

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Congleton weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for West Midlands

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for West Midlands…

Congleton weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Congleton swings 19°C across the year, from 19°C highs in August to 0°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1063 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 7 days a year at 25°C or above, 38 frost nights, and rain on 185 days.

Warmest month
August
19°C average high
Coldest month
January
0°C average low
Wettest month
October
1063 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
26,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
90/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
7 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
38 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
185 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Congleton’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Congleton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Congleton hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Congleton 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
14° 6°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
10° 7°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
16° 7°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
16° 8°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
14° 8°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
12° 8°
±2°
Fri
Light drizzle
13° 8°
models agree
Sat
Heavy drizzle
12° 6°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
10° 6°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
10° 4°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
9° 4°
models agree
Wed
Snow
7° 2°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
7° 1°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
8° 1°
±4°

Congleton, England is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 19°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 0°C), with roughly 1063 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Congleton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Congleton climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
6°
0°
Feb
7°
1°
Mar
8°
2°
Apr
11°
4°
May
14°
6°
Jun
18°
9°
Jul
18°
11°
Aug
19°
12°
Sep
17°
10°
Oct
13°
7°
Nov
9°
4°
Dec
6°
2°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Congleton has changed since 1995

Congleton sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Newcastle under Lyme. That square ran 0.5°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Newcastle under Lyme page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Congleton?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C98±0.5 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
84
/100rank #2
83±0.9°C95±1.5 mph7687% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
78
/100rank #3
76±1.3°C92±2.5 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°14° to 15°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°10° to 11°±59%33% to 92% chance
Mon±1°15° to 16°±11%89% to 100% chance
Tue±1°15° to 16°±35%65% to 100% chance
Wed±1°14° to 15°±71%29% to 100% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Congleton

today, local time
Sunrise
07:51
Sunset
17:53
Daylight
10h 2m

Common questions

What's the weather in Congleton today?
Saturday 24 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 14° in Congleton today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 10°, with a 92% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Congleton today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Congleton on Sunday 25 October: Met Office 33%, European 92%, American 84%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Congleton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Congleton (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the Met Office at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Congleton?
August is typically the warmest month in Congleton, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Congleton get?
The coldest month in Congleton is January, when overnight lows average about 0°C.
How much rain does Congleton get?
Congleton sees roughly 1063 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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