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CheckWeather UKChesterfield
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Chesterfield weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model put Chesterfield's high today between 21° and 24°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 19°, with a 40% chance of rain.

23°12°
19°15°
16°11°
17°11°
18°10°
19°12°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
24°
Drizzle
Today 24°·Low 12°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
21°
Light drizzle
Today 21°·Low 11°·Rain 83%
AmericanNOAA GFS
23°
Light drizzle
Today 23°·Low 12°·Rain 58%

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Chesterfield and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
23° 12°
±3°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
19° 15°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
16° 11°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
17° 11°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
18° 10°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
19° 12°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
19°
±6°
Sun
Drizzle
20° 14°
±2°
Mon
Light drizzle
21° 13°
±6°
Tue
Light rain
19° 13°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
17° 10°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
18° 10°
±9°
Fri
Light drizzle
17°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
16°
±5°

Chesterfield, England is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 20°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 981 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Chesterfield right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Chesterfield climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
12°
May
16°
Jun
19°
10°
Jul
19°
12°
Aug
20°
12°
Sep
18°
11°
Oct
14°
Nov
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Chesterfield?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C97±0.8 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
91
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C97±1.0 mph8994% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
87
/100rank #3
77±1.3°C91±2.7 mph9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°21° to 24°±25%58% to 83% chance
Tomorrow±2°18° to 20°±27%13% to 40% chance
Tue±1°16° to 17°±10%68% to 78% chance
Wed±2°17° to 18°±16%13% to 29% chance
Thu±2°17° to 19°±4%19% to 23% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Chesterfield

today, local time
Sunrise
06:24
Sunset
19:43
Daylight
13h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Chesterfield today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Chesterfield today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Chesterfield today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Chesterfield and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Chesterfield?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Chesterfield (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the Met Office at 91. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Chesterfield?
August is typically the warmest month in Chesterfield, with average highs around 20°C.
How cold does Chesterfield get?
The coldest month in Chesterfield is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Chesterfield get?
Chesterfield sees roughly 981 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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