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Chapel St Leonards weather

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Met OfficeUKMO model
11°
Overcast
Feels 7° · Wind 12 mph · Humidity 75%
EuropeanECMWF
10°
Partly cloudy
Feels 7° · Wind 11 mph · Humidity 83%
AmericanNOAA GFS
11°
Clear
Feels 7° · Wind 14 mph · Humidity 76%

Latest for Chapel St Leonards: Met Office (UKMO model): 11° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 10° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 11° Clear.

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Chapel St Leonards weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for East Midlands

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for East Midlands…

Chapel St Leonards weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Chapel St Leonards swings 17°C across the year, from 20°C highs in July to 3°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 652 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
20°C average high
Coldest month
January
3°C average low
Wettest month
October
652 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
3,481
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The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Chapel St Leonards and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Chapel St Leonards hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Chapel St Leonards 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Chapel St Leonards, England is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 20°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 3°C), with roughly 652 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Chapel St Leonards right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Chapel St Leonards climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
8°
3°
Feb
8°
3°
Mar
9°
4°
Apr
11°
6°
May
14°
9°
Jun
17°
11°
Jul
20°
14°
Aug
20°
13°
Sep
17°
12°
Oct
14°
9°
Nov
10°
6°
Dec
7°
4°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Chapel St Leonards has changed since 1995

Chapel St Leonards sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as King's Lynn. That square ran 0.5°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the King's Lynn page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Chapel St Leonards?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C96±1.2 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
92
/100rank #2
93±0.4°C95±1.6 mph8994% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
90
/100rank #3
85±0.9°C93±2.2 mph9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Chapel St Leonards today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Chapel St Leonards today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Chapel St Leonards today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Chapel St Leonards and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Chapel St Leonards?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Chapel St Leonards (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the Met Office at 92. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Chapel St Leonards?
July is typically the warmest month in Chapel St Leonards, with average highs around 20°C.
How cold does Chapel St Leonards get?
The coldest month in Chapel St Leonards is January, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Chapel St Leonards get?
Chapel St Leonards sees roughly 652 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

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