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CheckWeather UK›Horncastle

Horncastle weather

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Met OfficeUKMO model
10°
Heavy drizzle
Feels 5° · Wind 20 mph · Humidity 94%
EuropeanECMWF
9°
Light rain
Feels 4° · Wind 20 mph · Humidity 92%
AmericanNOAA GFS
10°
Light drizzle
Feels 4° · Wind 24 mph · Humidity 87%

Latest for Horncastle: Met Office (UKMO model): 10° Heavy drizzle · European (ECMWF): 9° Light rain · American (NOAA GFS): 10° Light drizzle.

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Horncastle weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for East Midlands

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for East Midlands…

Horncastle weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Horncastle swings 19°C across the year, from 21°C highs in August to 2°C lows in January, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 680 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 12 days a year at 25°C or above, 1 of them at 30°C or above, 26 frost nights, and rain on 138 days.

Warmest month
August
21°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
August
680 mm a year
Comfortable
3 months
June, July and September
Residents
6,815
share this forecast
Most accurate here
American
91/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
12 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
26 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
138 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Horncastle’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Horncastle and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Horncastle hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Horncastle 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Horncastle, England is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 21°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 680 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Horncastle right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Horncastle climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
8°
2°
Feb
8°
2°
Mar
10°
3°
Apr
12°
5°
May
15°
8°
Jun
18°
10°
Jul
20°
13°
Aug
21°
13°
Sep
18°
11°
Oct
14°
8°
Nov
10°
4°
Dec
7°
3°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Horncastle has changed since 1995

Horncastle sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Boston. That square ran 0.5°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Boston page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Horncastle?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
90±0.6°C94±1.8 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
90
/100rank #2
92±0.4°C96±1.2 mph8290% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
European logo
European
88
/100rank #3
96±0.2°C98±0.7 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Horncastle today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Horncastle today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Horncastle today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Horncastle and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Horncastle?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Horncastle (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the Met Office at 90. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Horncastle?
August is typically the warmest month in Horncastle, with average highs around 21°C.
How cold does Horncastle get?
The coldest month in Horncastle is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Horncastle get?
Horncastle sees roughly 680 mm of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

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