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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Chandler's Ford weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 12° in Chandler's Ford today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 10°, with a 33% chance of rain.

12°7°
10°7°
10°6°
11°6°
10°6°
11°5°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°Fridaymodels agreeSaturdaymodels agreeSundaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
8°
Partly cloudy
Feels 4° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 68%
EuropeanECMWF
8°
Partly cloudy
Feels 4° · Wind 12 mph · Humidity 68%
AmericanNOAA GFS
8°
Overcast
Feels 3° · Wind 15 mph · Humidity 63%

Latest for Chandler's Ford: Met Office (UKMO model): 8° Partly cloudy · European (ECMWF): 8° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 8° Overcast.

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Chandler's Ford weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for London & South East England

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for London & South East England…

Chandler's Ford weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Chandler's Ford swings 19°C across the year, from 21°C highs in July to 2°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 838 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
21°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
October
838 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
21,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Chandler's Ford and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Chandler's Ford hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Chandler's Ford 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
12° 7°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
10° 7°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
10° 6°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
11° 6°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
10° 6°
models agree
Sun
Fog
11° 5°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
11° 6°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
10° 8°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
10° 6°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
9° 5°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
9° 6°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
10° 6°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
11° 7°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
10° 5°
models agree

Chandler's Ford, England is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 21°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 838 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Chandler's Ford right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Chandler's Ford climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
8°
2°
Feb
9°
2°
Mar
10°
4°
Apr
13°
6°
May
16°
8°
Jun
20°
10°
Jul
21°
13°
Aug
21°
13°
Sep
18°
10°
Oct
14°
8°
Nov
11°
5°
Dec
8°
4°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Chandler's Ford has changed since 1995

Chandler's Ford sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Southampton. That square ran 0.6°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Southampton page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Chandler's Ford?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
97±0.1°C99±0.4 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
85
/100rank #2
94±0.3°C92±2.5 mph7184% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
85
/100rank #3
89±0.6°C92±2.5 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°12° to 13°±67%0% to 67% chance
Tomorrow±2°10° to 11°±33%0% to 33% chance
Thu±3°9° to 12°±2%0% to 2% chance
Fri±1°11° to 11°±23%10% to 33% chance
Sat±1°9° to 11°±21%12% to 33% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Chandler's Ford

today, local time
Sunrise
07:01
Sunset
16:36
Daylight
9h 35m

Common questions

What's the weather in Chandler's Ford today?
Tuesday 3 November: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 12° in Chandler's Ford today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 10°, with a 33% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Chandler's Ford today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Chandler's Ford on Wednesday 4 November: Met Office 33%, European 0%, American 0%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Tuesday 3 November the highest chance of rain from any model is 67%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Chandler's Ford?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Chandler's Ford (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the Met Office at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Chandler's Ford?
July is typically the warmest month in Chandler's Ford, with average highs around 21°C.
How cold does Chandler's Ford get?
The coldest month in Chandler's Ford is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Chandler's Ford get?
Chandler's Ford sees roughly 838 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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