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CheckWeather UK›Canvey Island
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Canvey Island weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 16° in Canvey Island today. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 15°, with a 100% chance of rain.

16°7°
15°9°
16°9°
16°11°
15°9°
13°9°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°
Met OfficeUKMO model
16°
Rain
Today 16°·Low 7°·Rain 100%
EuropeanECMWF
15°
Rain
Today 15°·Low 7°·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
16°
Rain
Today 16°·Low 7°·Rain 100%
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Canvey Island weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for London & South East England

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for London & South East England…

Canvey Island weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Canvey Island swings 17°C across the year, from 20°C highs in July to 3°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 590 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 14 days a year at 25°C or above, 2 of them at 30°C or above, 14 frost nights, and rain on 130 days.

Warmest month
July
20°C average high
Coldest month
January
3°C average low
Wettest month
October
590 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
38,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
90/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
14 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
14 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
130 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Canvey Island’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Canvey Island and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Canvey Island hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Canvey Island 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
16° 7°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
15° 9°
±3°
Mon
Drizzle
16° 9°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
16° 11°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
15° 9°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
13° 9°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
15° 9°
models agree
Sat
Heavy drizzle
12° 8°
±3°
Sun
Drizzle
12° 6°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
12° 6°
±4°
Tue
Mostly clear
13° 7°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
12° 5°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
9° 3°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
10° 2°
models agree

Canvey Island, England is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 20°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 3°C), with roughly 590 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Canvey Island right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Canvey Island climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
8°
3°
Feb
8°
3°
Mar
10°
5°
Apr
13°
7°
May
15°
9°
Jun
19°
12°
Jul
20°
15°
Aug
20°
14°
Sep
18°
12°
Oct
15°
10°
Nov
11°
7°
Dec
7°
4°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Canvey Island has changed since 1995

Canvey Island sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Southend-on-Sea. That square ran 0.6°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Southend-on-Sea page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Canvey Island?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
82±1.0°C97±0.8 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
84
/100rank #2
83±0.9°C96±1.3 mph7687% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
81
/100rank #3
79±1.1°C91±2.9 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°15° to 16°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±3°13° to 16°±1%99% to 100% chance
Mon±1°16° to 17°±32%68% to 100% chance
Tue±1°16° to 17°±30%37% to 67% chance
Wedmodels agree15° to 16°±33%0% to 33% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Canvey Island

today, local time
Sunrise
07:37
Sunset
17:45
Daylight
10h 8m

Common questions

What's the weather in Canvey Island today?
Saturday 24 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 16° in Canvey Island today. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 15°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Canvey Island today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Canvey Island on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 99% (Met Office 100%, European 99%, American 100%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Canvey Island?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Canvey Island (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the Met Office at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Canvey Island?
July is typically the warmest month in Canvey Island, with average highs around 20°C.
How cold does Canvey Island get?
The coldest month in Canvey Island is January, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Canvey Island get?
Canvey Island sees roughly 590 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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