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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Alton weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 24° in Alton today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 22°, with a 18% chance of rain.

24°12°
22°16°
20°13°
19°10°
18°11°
21°14°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°Fridaysplit ±3°
Met OfficeUKMO model
18°
Partly cloudy
Feels 18° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 85%
EuropeanECMWF
18°
Overcast
Feels 18° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 79%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Overcast
Feels 17° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 84%

Latest for Alton: Met Office (UKMO model): 18° Partly cloudy · European (ECMWF): 18° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 17° Overcast.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Alton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
24° 12°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
22° 16°
models agree
Tue
Heavy drizzle
20° 13°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
19° 10°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
18° 11°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 14°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
21° 10°
±5°
Sun
Light drizzle
23° 15°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
23° 13°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
22° 14°
±3°
Wed
Drizzle
20° 11°
±8°
Thu
Light drizzle
22° 11°
±9°
Fri
Light rain
19° 12°
±6°
Sat
Light drizzle
20° 10°
±7°

Alton is a small town of about 19,000 people in England, sitting at 51.1°N in a temperate climate zone. Met Office, European, American each forecast Alton with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Four Marks, Bordon, Liss.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Alton?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
90±0.6°C96±1.4 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
88
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C97±1.1 mph8290% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
75
/100rank #3
68±1.8°C91±2.9 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°24° to 25°±21%10% to 31% chance
Tomorrow±1°21° to 22°±7%11% to 18% chance
Tue±1°19° to 20°±16%49% to 65% chance
Wed±2°18° to 20°±1%3% to 4% chance
Thu±3°17° to 20°±8%14% to 22% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Alton

today, local time
Sunrise
06:25
Sunset
19:39
Daylight
13h 14m

Common questions

What's the weather in Alton today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Alton today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Alton today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Alton and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Alton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Alton (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the Met Office at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

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