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CheckWeather UKAberystwyth
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Aberystwyth weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 23° in Aberystwyth today. Tomorrow looks heavy drizzle around 18°, with a 100% chance of rain.

23°13°
18°14°
16°12°
16°12°
17°12°
17°13°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
24°
Light rain
Today 24°·Low 13°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
23°
Drizzle
Today 23°·Low 14°·Rain 67%
AmericanNOAA GFS
24°
Light drizzle
Today 24°·Low 13°·Rain 67%

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Aberystwyth and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
23° 13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Heavy drizzle
18° 14°
models agree
Tue
Rain
16° 12°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
16° 12°
models agree
Thu
Heavy drizzle
17° 12°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
17° 13°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
19° 10°
±4°
Sun
Light rain
17° 15°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
20° 13°
±3°
Tue
Rain
18° 12°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
16° 10°
±4°
Thu
Drizzle
18° 10°
±6°
Fri
Drizzle
16° 11°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
16°
±4°

Aberystwyth, Wales is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 19°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 4°C), with roughly 2170 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Aberystwyth right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Aberystwyth climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
10°
Mar
10°
Apr
12°
May
16°
10°
Jun
18°
12°
Jul
18°
13°
Aug
19°
14°
Sep
18°
13°
Oct
15°
10°
Nov
11°
Dec
10°

Which forecast is most accurate in Aberystwyth?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C97±0.9 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
83
/100rank #2
83±0.9°C94±1.8 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
75
/100rank #3
87±0.7°C94±2.0 mph4771% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°23° to 24°models agree67% to 67% chance
Tomorrow±1°17° to 19°±22%78% to 100% chance
Tuemodels agree16° to 16°±10%87% to 97% chance
Wed±1°15° to 17°±35%61% to 96% chance
Thu±2°17° to 19°±10%66% to 76% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Aberystwyth

today, local time
Sunrise
06:36
Sunset
19:53
Daylight
13h 17m

Common questions

What's the weather in Aberystwyth today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Aberystwyth today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Aberystwyth today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Aberystwyth and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Aberystwyth?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Aberystwyth (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the American at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Aberystwyth?
August is typically the warmest month in Aberystwyth, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Aberystwyth get?
The coldest month in Aberystwyth is January, when overnight lows average about 4°C.
How much rain does Aberystwyth get?
Aberystwyth sees roughly 2170 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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