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Cardigan weather

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Cardigan weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for Wales

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for Wales…

Cardigan weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Cardigan swings 15°C across the year, from 19°C highs in August to 4°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1304 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 3 days a year at 25°C or above, 4 frost nights, and rain on 193 days.

Warmest month
August
19°C average high
Coldest month
January
4°C average low
Wettest month
October
1304 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
5,301
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
85/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
3 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
4 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
193 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Cardigan’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Cardigan and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Cardigan hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Cardigan 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Cardigan, Wales is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 19°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 4°C), with roughly 1304 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Cardigan right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Cardigan climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
8°
4°
Feb
8°
4°
Mar
9°
5°
Apr
11°
6°
May
14°
9°
Jun
17°
11°
Jul
18°
13°
Aug
19°
14°
Sep
17°
12°
Oct
14°
10°
Nov
12°
8°
Dec
8°
5°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Cardigan has changed since 1995

Cardigan sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Carmarthen. That square ran 0.4°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Carmarthen page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Cardigan?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
85
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C93±2.2 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
81
/100rank #2
94±0.4°C84±5.1 mph6581% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
77
/100rank #3
92±0.4°C96±1.4 mph4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Cardigan today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Cardigan today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Cardigan today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Cardigan and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Cardigan?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Cardigan (CheckWeather Score 85/100), ahead of the Met Office at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Cardigan?
August is typically the warmest month in Cardigan, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Cardigan get?
The coldest month in Cardigan is January, when overnight lows average about 4°C.
How much rain does Cardigan get?
Cardigan sees roughly 1304 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

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