Papakura weekend weather
This weekend in Papakura, New Zealand, model by model. Weekend forecasts are far enough out that the models often split - so we show you where.
The models centre on about 15° across the weekend. Agreement is low - the weekend is genuinely up in the air at this range. Rain chance reaches 94% on at least one model. The models agree closely on temperature but split badly on rain (75 points apart), so the rain call is the uncertain part.
Today
2026-09-19 — every model, side by sideAll 3 models land within 1° of each other for this day — that is a forecast you can plan on.
Tomorrow
2026-09-20 — every model, side by sideAll 3 models land within under a degree of each other for this day — that is a forecast you can plan on.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separatelyThe models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.