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CheckWeather NZKumeu
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Kumeu weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 17° in Kumeu today. Tomorrow looks light rain around 16°, with a 100% chance of rain.

17°
16°11°
15°
15°
14°
13°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°Fridaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Light drizzle
Feels 12° · Wind 31 km/h · Humidity 84%
AmericanNOAA GFS
15°
Drizzle
Feels 14° · Wind 14 km/h · Humidity 87%
GermanDWD ICON
16°
Overcast
Feels 13° · Wind 23 km/h · Humidity 83%

Latest for Kumeu: European (ECMWF): 16° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 15° Drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 16° Overcast.

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Kumeu and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
17°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light rain
16° 11°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
15°
±3°
Wed
Rain
15°
models agree
Thu
Light rain
14°
±3°
Fri
Drizzle
13°
±3°
Sat
Cloudy
14° 11°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
15° 11°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
16° 12°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
16° 12°
models agree
Wed
Heavy drizzle
16° 11°
models agree
Thu
Heavy drizzle
16° 10°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
14°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
12°
±6°

Kumeu, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 23°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 7°C), with roughly 1460 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Kumeu right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Kumeu climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
23°
16°
Feb
23°
15°
Mar
20°
13°
Apr
19°
13°
May
17°
11°
Jun
15°
Jul
14°
Aug
14°
Sep
16°
10°
Oct
17°
11°
Nov
19°
12°
Dec
21°
15°

Which forecast is most accurate in Kumeu?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C96±1.8 km/t100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #2
90±0.5°C86±6.8 km/t6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
80
/100rank #3
93±0.4°C97±1.6 km/t5374% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 237 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°16° to 17°±65%8% to 73% chance
Tomorrow±1°16° to 16°±10%90% to 100% chance
Tue±3°14° to 17°±37%8% to 45% chance
Wed±1°14° to 15°±36%23% to 59% chance
Thu±3°13° to 15°±39%55% to 94% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Kumeu

today, local time
Sunrise
06:35
Sunset
18:05
Daylight
11h 30m

Common questions

What's the weather in Kumeu today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Kumeu today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Kumeu today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Kumeu and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Kumeu?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Kumeu (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the American at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Kumeu?
January is typically the warmest month in Kumeu, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Kumeu get?
The coldest month in Kumeu is August, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does Kumeu get?
Kumeu sees roughly 1460 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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