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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CAVarennes
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Varennes weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 23° in Varennes today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 25°, with a 8% chance of rain.

23°13°
25°13°
21°14°
22°15°
23°15°
19°12°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±5°Fridaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
24°
Cloudy
Today 24°·Low 14°·Rain 15%
EuropeanECMWF
22°
Light drizzle
Today 22°·Low 13°·Rain 40%
AmericanNOAA GFS
22°
Mostly clear
Today 22°·Low 12°·Rain 6%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Varennes and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
23° 13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
25° 13°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
21° 14°
models agree
Wed
Showers
22° 15°
models agree
Thu
Heavy drizzle
23° 15°
±5°
Fri
Partly cloudy
19° 12°
±3°
Sat
Showers
24° 12°
±5°
Sun
Light drizzle
24° 14°
±10°
Mon
Partly cloudy
20° 12°
±5°
Tue
Light drizzle
18° 13°
±3°
Wed
Mostly clear
19° 11°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
20° 11°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
19° 12°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
19°
±4°

Varennes, Quebec is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -12°C), with roughly 1199 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Varennes right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Varennes climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-2°
-10°
Feb
-1°
-12°
Mar
-4°
Apr
13°
May
20°
Jun
24°
15°
Jul
27°
18°
Aug
24°
16°
Sep
22°
14°
Oct
16°
Nov
Dec
-7°

Which forecast is most accurate in Varennes?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
EC
Env. Canada ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
88±0.7°C91±4.4 km/t8994% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
European logo
European
87
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C96±2.2 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
72
/100rank #3
83±0.9°C95±2.5 km/t4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°22° to 24°±34%6% to 40% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree25° to 25°±8%0% to 8% chance
Tue±2°20° to 22°±29%8% to 37% chance
Wed±2°21° to 23°±2%81% to 83% chance
Thu±5°20° to 25°±8%73% to 81% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Varennes

today, local time
Sunrise
06:21
Sunset
19:22
Daylight
13h 1m

Common questions

What's the weather in Varennes today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Varennes today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Varennes today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Varennes and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Varennes?
Over the last 30 days, the Env. Canada model has been the most accurate for Varennes (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the European at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Varennes?
July is typically the warmest month in Varennes, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Varennes get?
The coldest month in Varennes is February, when overnight lows average about -12°C.
How much rain does Varennes get?
Varennes sees roughly 1199 mm of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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