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CheckWeather CASaint-Jean-sur-Richelieu
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu's high today between 21° and 23°, a 2° split. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 25°, with a 11% chance of rain.

22°12°
25°12°
21°14°
21°13°
23°15°
18°12°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±4°Fridaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
23°
Light drizzle
Today 23°·Low 12°·Rain 15%
EuropeanECMWF
21°
Light drizzle
Today 21°·Low 11°·Rain 60%
AmericanNOAA GFS
22°
Partly cloudy
Today 22°·Low 12°·Rain 7%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
22° 12°
±2°
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
25° 12°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
21° 14°
models agree
Wed
Showers
21° 13°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
23° 15°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
18° 12°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
23° 12°
±4°
Sun
Showers
23° 15°
±9°
Mon
Cloudy
19° 12°
±6°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
19° 13°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
20° 11°
±4°
Thu
Partly cloudy
20° 11°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
19° 10°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
19°
±4°

Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu, Quebec is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -10°C), with roughly 1308 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-2°
-8°
Feb
-10°
Mar
-4°
Apr
13°
May
20°
Jun
24°
14°
Jul
26°
18°
Aug
24°
16°
Sep
22°
13°
Oct
15°
Nov
Dec
-6°

Which forecast is most accurate in Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C96±1.8 km/t7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
65
/100rank #2
62±2.1°C95±2.6 km/t4771% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
62
/100rank #3
75±1.4°C96±1.9 km/t2458% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°21° to 23°±53%7% to 60% chance
Tomorrow±1°24° to 25°±11%0% to 11% chance
Tue±1°21° to 21°±24%11% to 35% chance
Wed±3°20° to 22°±9%82% to 91% chance
Thu±4°21° to 25°±13%73% to 86% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu

today, local time
Sunrise
06:21
Sunset
19:21
Daylight
13h 0m

Common questions

What's the weather in Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 65. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu?
July is typically the warmest month in Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu get?
The coldest month in Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu is February, when overnight lows average about -10°C.
How much rain does Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu get?
Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu sees roughly 1308 mm of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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