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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Vanier weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 24° in Vanier today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 24°, with a 1% chance of rain.

24°12°
24°14°
24°17°
21°12°
22°
25°12°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agreeSaturdaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
16°
Clear
Feels 16° · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 86%
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Partly cloudy
Feels 16° · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 88%
AmericanNOAA GFS
15°
Clear
Feels 15° · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 84%

Latest for Vanier: Env. Canada (GEM model): 16° Clear · European (ECMWF): 16° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 15° Clear.

Vanier weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Vanier swings 32°C across the year, from 26°C highs in July to -6°C lows in February, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 969 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
26°C average high
Coldest month
February
-6°C average low
Wettest month
July
969 mm a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
15,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Vanier and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
24° 12°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
24° 14°
models agree
Wed
Heavy drizzle
24° 17°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
21° 12°
models agree
Fri
Clear
22°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
25° 12°
±3°
Sun
Cloudy
23° 14°
±7°
Mon
Clear
24° 12°
±9°
Tue
Cloudy
23° 10°
±12°
Wed
Partly cloudy
19°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
20° 10°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
15° 10°
±6°
Sat
Partly cloudy
14°
±3°
Sun
Partly cloudy
15°
models agree

Vanier, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -6°C), with roughly 969 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Vanier right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Vanier climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-5°
Feb
-6°
Mar
-3°
Apr
13°
May
20°
Jun
24°
14°
Jul
26°
16°
Aug
24°
15°
Sep
23°
13°
Oct
16°
Nov
Dec
-3°

Which forecast is most accurate in Vanier?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C98±1.1 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
78
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C96±2.1 km/t5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
71
/100rank #3
67±1.8°C96±2.1 km/t5877% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°23° to 26°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°23° to 25°±1%0% to 1% chance
Wed±6°21° to 27°±32%52% to 84% chance
Thu±2°20° to 22°±11%15% to 26% chance
Fri±1°21° to 22°±2%0% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Vanier

today, local time
Sunrise
06:52
Sunset
19:46
Daylight
12h 54m

Common questions

What's the weather in Vanier today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Vanier today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Vanier today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Vanier and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Vanier?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Vanier (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Vanier?
July is typically the warmest month in Vanier, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Vanier get?
The coldest month in Vanier is February, when overnight lows average about -6°C.
How much rain does Vanier get?
Vanier sees roughly 969 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather