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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Trail weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 23° in Trail today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 25°, with a 38% chance of rain.

23°
25°10°
22°13°
23°12°
26°11°
25°12°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaysplit ±8°Tuesdaysplit ±2°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°
Env. CanadaGEM model
22°
Cloudy
Today 22°·Low ·Rain 6%
EuropeanECMWF
22°
Cloudy
Today 22°·Low ·Rain 17%
AmericanNOAA GFS
24°
Cloudy
Today 24°·Low ·Rain 13%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Trail and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
23°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
25° 10°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
22° 13°
±8°
Tue
Cloudy
23° 12°
±2°
Wed
Cloudy
26° 11°
models agree
Thu
Clear
25° 12°
±4°
Fri
Partly cloudy
21° 11°
±10°
Sat
Showers
21° 11°
±3°
Sun
Light drizzle
23° 11°
models agree
Mon
Clear
26° 11°
models agree
Tue
Clear
28° 11°
models agree
Wed
Clear
29° 12°
models agree
Thu
Clear
24° 13°
±6°
Fri
Clear
23° 11°
±9°

Trail, British Columbia is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 32°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -6°C), with roughly 652 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Trail right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Trail climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-6°
Feb
-4°
Mar
-4°
Apr
14°
May
22°
Jun
24°
10°
Jul
32°
15°
Aug
30°
15°
Sep
25°
11°
Oct
16°
Nov
Dec
-2°

Which forecast is most accurate in Trail?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C97±1.5 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
84
/100rank #2
79±1.2°C94±2.8 km/t8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
81
/100rank #3
77±1.3°C94±3.1 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°22° to 24°±11%6% to 17% chance
Tomorrow±3°24° to 27°±26%12% to 38% chance
Mon±8°18° to 26°±50%26% to 76% chance
Tue±2°22° to 24°±18%8% to 26% chance
Wed±1°26° to 27°±2%0% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Trail

today, local time
Sunrise
06:13
Sunset
19:25
Daylight
13h 12m

Common questions

What's the weather in Trail today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Trail today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Trail today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Trail and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Trail?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Trail (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Trail?
July is typically the warmest month in Trail, with average highs around 32°C.
How cold does Trail get?
The coldest month in Trail is January, when overnight lows average about -6°C.
How much rain does Trail get?
Trail sees roughly 652 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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