Nelson weather
Loading live data…Showers,rain likely tomorrow
Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 20° in Nelson today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 23°, with a 98% chance of rain.
The weather map: all three models at once
Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Nelson and nearby towns.Live rain radar →Next 14 hours
consensus of the three models14-day forecast
where the models agree, and where they splitNelson is a small town of about 11,000 people in British Columbia, sitting at 49.5°N in a temperate climate zone. Env. Canada, European, American each forecast Nelson with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Castlegar, Trail, Creston.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.
Which forecast is most accurate in Nelson?
CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separatelyThe models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.