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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Tantramar weather

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Cloudy,warmer tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 9° in Tantramar today. Tomorrow: clear, around 15°, with a 0% chance of rain.

9°0°
15°4°
15°5°
7°0°
6°-3°
11°-1°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
10°
Partly cloudy
Today 10°·Low 0°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
9°
Cloudy
Today 9°·Low 0°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
9°
Cloudy
Today 9°·Low 0°·Rain 0%
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Tantramar weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Tantramar swings 35°C across the year, from 23°C highs in July to -12°C lows in February, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1458 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 24 days a year at 25°C or above, 144 frost nights, and rain on 142 days.

Warmest month
July
23°C average high
Coldest month
February
-12°C average low
Wettest month
October
1458 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
15,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
American
91/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
24 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
144 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
142 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Tantramar’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Tantramar and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Tantramar hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Tantramar 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
9° 0°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
15° 4°
±3°
Mon
Drizzle
15° 5°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
7° 0°
±3°
Wed
Clear
6° -3°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
11° -1°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
14° 5°
models agree
Sat
Mostly clear
8° 0°
±4°
Sun
Clear
10° -1°
±8°
Mon
Cloudy
12° 5°
±8°
Tue
Light rain
15° 8°
±6°
Wed
Light rain
14° 6°
±3°
Thu
Partly cloudy
8° 1°
±7°
Fri
Light drizzle
7° -1°
±6°

Tantramar, New Brunswick is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 23°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -12°C), with roughly 1458 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Tantramar right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Tantramar climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-3°
-11°
Feb
-3°
-12°
Mar
2°
-6°
Apr
9°
-1°
May
14°
5°
Jun
19°
11°
Jul
23°
15°
Aug
23°
15°
Sep
20°
11°
Oct
13°
5°
Nov
6°
0°
Dec
0°
-7°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Tantramar has changed since 1995

Tantramar sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Dieppe. That square ran 0.7°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Dieppe page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Tantramar?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
86±0.8°C95±2.4 km/h9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
88
/100rank #2
93±0.4°C97±1.4 km/h7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
85
/100rank #3
89±0.6°C92±4.1 km/h7687% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°9° to 10°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°14° to 17°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°14° to 16°±9%6% to 15% chance
Tue±3°6° to 9°±8%6% to 14% chance
Wed±2°5° to 7°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Tantramar

today, local time
Sunrise
07:46
Sunset
18:16
Daylight
10h 30m

Common questions

What's the weather in Tantramar today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 9° in Tantramar today. Tomorrow: clear, around 15°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Tantramar today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Tantramar on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (Env. Canada 0%, European 0%, American 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Tantramar?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Tantramar (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the European at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Tantramar?
July is typically the warmest month in Tantramar, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Tantramar get?
The coldest month in Tantramar is February, when overnight lows average about -12°C.
How much rain does Tantramar get?
Tantramar sees roughly 1458 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather