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CheckWeather CA›Amherst
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Amherst weather

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Cloudy,warmer tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 9° in Amherst today. Tomorrow: mostly clear, around 15°, with a 0% chance of rain.

9°0°
15°2°
15°7°
8°0°
6°-3°
10°-1°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
5°
Partly cloudy
Feels 2° · Wind 11 km/h · Humidity 69%
EuropeanECMWF
5°
Mainly clear
Feels 1° · Wind 13 km/h · Humidity 62%
AmericanNOAA GFS
4°
Overcast
Feels 0° · Wind 14 km/h · Humidity 75%

Latest for Amherst: Env. Canada (GEM model): 5° Partly cloudy · European (ECMWF): 5° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 4° Overcast.

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Amherst weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Amherst swings 37°C across the year, from 24°C highs in July to -13°C lows in February, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1189 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
24°C average high
Coldest month
February
-13°C average low
Wettest month
November
1189 mm a year
Below freezing
5 months
January, February, March, April and December
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
9,404
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Amherst and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Amherst hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Amherst 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
9° 0°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
15° 2°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
15° 7°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
8° 0°
±3°
Wed
Clear
6° -3°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
10° -1°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
14° 6°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
8° 0°
±3°
Sun
Partly cloudy
10° -1°
±7°
Mon
Cloudy
12° 6°
±7°
Tue
Light rain
15° 9°
±7°
Wed
Light rain
15° 7°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
8° 2°
±6°
Fri
Drizzle
7° 1°
±6°

Amherst, Nova Scotia is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -13°C), with roughly 1189 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Amherst right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Amherst climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-3°
-11°
Feb
-3°
-13°
Mar
2°
-6°
Apr
9°
-1°
May
14°
4°
Jun
19°
11°
Jul
24°
15°
Aug
23°
15°
Sep
20°
11°
Oct
13°
5°
Nov
6°
0°
Dec
0°
-7°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Amherst has changed since 1995

Amherst sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Dieppe. That square ran 0.7°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Dieppe page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Amherst?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C97±1.7 km/h8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
86
/100rank #2
92±0.5°C96±2.2 km/h7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
84
/100rank #3
88±0.7°C94±3.0 km/h7184% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°9° to 9°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tomorrow±2°14° to 16°models agree0% to 0% chance
Monmodels agree14° to 15°±11%7% to 18% chance
Tue±3°6° to 10°±7%7% to 14% chance
Wed±1°6° to 7°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Amherst

today, local time
Sunrise
07:45
Sunset
18:15
Daylight
10h 30m

Common questions

What's the weather in Amherst today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 9° in Amherst today. Tomorrow: mostly clear, around 15°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Amherst today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Amherst on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (Env. Canada 0%, European 0%, American 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 1%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Amherst?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Amherst (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Amherst?
July is typically the warmest month in Amherst, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Amherst get?
The coldest month in Amherst is February, when overnight lows average about -13°C.
How much rain does Amherst get?
Amherst sees roughly 1189 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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