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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CASurrey
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Surrey weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 21° in Surrey today. Tomorrow looks clear around 23°, with a 2% chance of rain.

21°11°
23°11°
18°11°
21°10°
22°11°
20°11°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±4°
Env. CanadaGEM model
22°
Cloudy
Today 22°·Low 11°·Rain 6%
EuropeanECMWF
20°
Cloudy
Today 20°·Low 12°·Rain 57%
AmericanNOAA GFS
22°
Cloudy
Today 22°·Low 11°·Rain 7%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Surrey and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
21° 11°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
23° 11°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
18° 11°
models agree
Tue
Clear
21° 10°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
22° 11°
±4°
Thu
Mostly clear
20° 11°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
20° 10°
±5°
Sat
Clear
21° 12°
±4°
Sun
Cloudy
23° 11°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
23° 11°
±7°
Tue
Partly cloudy
22° 11°
±6°
Wed
Cloudy
19° 11°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
18° 11°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
17°
models agree

Surrey, British Columbia. Below we compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Surrey right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Surrey's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Surrey weather by month

what to expect in Surrey through the year

Here is Surrey's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Surrey by season.

Jan
Cold
Feb
Cold
Mar
10°
Cool
Apr
12°
Cool
May
18°
Mild
Jun
19°
10°
Mild
Jul
24°
13°
Warm
Aug
24°
14°
Warm
Sep
19°
11°
Mild
Oct
14°
Cool
Nov
Cool
Dec
Cold
Wettest

What Surrey's weather is like through the year

Surrey runs from warm summers, with July highs near 24°C, to cold winters, when January lows sit around 1°C (a swing of about 23°C across the year). December is usually the wettest month, and Surrey sees roughly 1478 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Surrey

The most comfortable time to visit Surrey is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest December rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Surrey?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
89±0.6°C98±1.2 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
82
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C95±2.3 km/t6581% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
76
/100rank #3
83±0.9°C96±2.2 km/t5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Surrey, scoring 89/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the Env. Canada at 82. See the full CA accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°20° to 22°±51%6% to 57% chance
Tomorrow±1°22° to 23°±2%0% to 2% chance
Mon±1°18° to 19°±60%20% to 80% chance
Tue±2°20° to 22°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±4°20° to 23°±6%0% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Surrey

today, local time
Sunrise
06:34
Sunset
19:45
Daylight
13h 11m

Common questions

What's the weather in Surrey today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Surrey today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Surrey today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Surrey and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Surrey?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Surrey (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Surrey?
July is typically the warmest month in Surrey, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Surrey get?
The coldest month in Surrey is January, when overnight lows average about 1°C.
How much rain does Surrey get?
Surrey sees roughly 1478 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Surrey?
The most comfortable time to visit Surrey is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest December rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Surrey?
Rarely - Surrey very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

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