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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

Surrey weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Surrey's high today between 9° and 12°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 13°, with a 91% chance of rain.

10°4°
13°7°
13°6°
11°6°
9°5°
8°4°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±2°Thursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
3°
Partly cloudy
Feels 1° · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 100%
EuropeanECMWF
5°
Overcast
Feels 3° · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 92%
AmericanNOAA GFS
3°
Partly cloudy
Feels 0° · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 74%

Latest for Surrey: Env. Canada (GEM model): 3° Partly cloudy · European (ECMWF): 5° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 3° Partly cloudy.

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Surrey weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Surrey swings 23°C across the year, from 24°C highs in August to 1°C lows in January, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1606 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 27 days a year at 25°C or above, 3 of them at 30°C or above, 50 frost nights, and rain on 163 days.

Warmest month
August
24°C average high
Coldest month
January
1°C average low
Wettest month
November
1606 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
568,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
90/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
27 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
50 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
163 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Surrey’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Surrey and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Surrey in 3D: the weather on the streets, hour by hour

Rain, sun and real shadows drawn on a 3D map of Surrey, 48 hours ahead. Drag the timeline, pick what you are doing or where you are going, and read the verdict for that hour.Full screen ↗

What are you doing?

Where are you going?

Surrey hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Surrey 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
10° 4°
±4°
Tomorrow
Drizzle
13° 7°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
13° 6°
models agree
Tue
Rain
11° 6°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
9° 5°
±2°
Thu
Cloudy
8° 4°
models agree
Fri
Clear
8° 2°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
9° 1°
±2°
Sun
Cloudy
10° 3°
±4°
Mon
Light rain
11° 5°
±3°
Tue
Drizzle
11° 4°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
10° 6°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
12° 8°
±3°

Surrey, British Columbia. Below we compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Surrey right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Surrey's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Surrey weather by month

what to expect in Surrey through the year, 1991-2020 averages

Here is Surrey's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Surrey by season.

Jan
6°
1°
Cold
Feb
7°
1°
Cold
Mar
10°
2°
Cool
Apr
13°
5°
Cool
May
17°
7°
Mild
Jun
19°
10°
Mild
Jul
23°
12°
Warm
Aug
24°
14°
Warm
Sep
19°
11°
Mild
Oct
14°
7°
Cool
Nov
9°
3°
Cool
Wettest
Dec
5°
1°
Cold

What Surrey's weather is like through the year

Surrey runs from warm summers, with August highs near 24°C, to cold winters, when January lows sit around 1°C (a swing of about 23°C across the year). November is usually the wettest month, and Surrey sees roughly 1606 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Surrey

The most comfortable time to visit Surrey is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest November rain is behind you.

How the weather around Surrey has changed since 1995

Surrey sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Vancouver. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Vancouver page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Surrey?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C97±1.4 km/h8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
85±0.8°C94±3.1 km/h7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
82
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C95±2.4 km/h7184% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Surrey, scoring 90/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 84. See the full CA accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°9° to 12°±34%48% to 82% chance
Tomorrow±1°13° to 13°±50%41% to 91% chance
Mon±1°13° to 14°±29%8% to 37% chance
Tue±1°11° to 12°±18%27% to 45% chance
Wed±2°8° to 10°±23%48% to 71% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Surrey

today, local time
Sunrise
07:46
Sunset
18:03
Daylight
10h 17m

Common questions

What's the weather in Surrey today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Surrey's high today between 9° and 12°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 13°, with a 91% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Surrey today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Surrey on Sunday, October 25: Env. Canada 76%, European 91%, American 41%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 82%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Surrey?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Surrey (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Surrey?
August is typically the warmest month in Surrey, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Surrey get?
The coldest month in Surrey is January, when overnight lows average about 1°C.
How much rain does Surrey get?
Surrey sees roughly 1606 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Surrey?
The most comfortable time to visit Surrey is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest November rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Surrey?
Rarely - Surrey very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

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