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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Vancouver (YVR) weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 10° in Vancouver today. Tomorrow: heavy drizzle, around 13°, with a 94% chance of rain.

10°5°
13°7°
13°8°
10°8°
9°6°
8°5°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaysplit ±2°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
5°
Partly cloudy
Feels 3° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 96%
EuropeanECMWF
6°
Overcast
Feels 5° · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 96%
AmericanNOAA GFS
5°
Overcast
Feels 2° · Wind 9 km/h · Humidity 60%

Latest for Vancouver: Env. Canada (GEM model): 5° Partly cloudy · European (ECMWF): 6° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 5° Overcast.

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Vancouver weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Vancouver swings 22°C across the year, from 23°C highs in August to 1°C lows in February, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 2034 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 16 days a year at 25°C or above, 1 of them at 30°C or above, 34 frost nights, and rain on 162 days.

Warmest month
August
23°C average high
Coldest month
February
1°C average low
Wettest month
November
2034 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
662,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
American
92/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
16 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
34 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
162 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Vancouver’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Vancouver and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Vancouver in 3D: the weather on the streets, hour by hour

Rain, sun and real shadows drawn on a 3D map of Vancouver, 48 hours ahead. Drag the timeline, pick what you are doing or where you are going, and read the verdict for that hour.Full screen ↗

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Where are you going?

Vancouver hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Vancouver 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
10° 5°
models agree
Tomorrow
Heavy drizzle
13° 7°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
13° 8°
±2°
Tue
Showers
10° 8°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
9° 6°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
8° 5°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
7° 3°
±2°
Sat
Cloudy
8° 3°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
10° 5°
±5°
Mon
Light rain
11° 7°
models agree
Tue
Heavy drizzle
11° 6°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
11° 8°
models agree
Thu
Heavy drizzle
11° 9°
±4°

Vancouver, British Columbia. Often shortened to Van, YVR. Below we compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Vancouver right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Vancouver's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Vancouver weather by month

what to expect in Vancouver through the year, 1991-2020 averages

Here is Vancouver's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Vancouver by season.

Jan
6°
2°
Cold
Feb
6°
1°
Cold
Mar
9°
2°
Cool
Apr
12°
6°
Cool
May
16°
8°
Mild
Jun
19°
12°
Mild
Jul
22°
14°
Warm
Aug
23°
15°
Warm
Sep
18°
12°
Mild
Oct
13°
8°
Cool
Nov
8°
4°
Cool
Wettest
Dec
6°
2°
Cold

What Vancouver's weather is like through the year

Vancouver runs from warm summers, with August highs near 23°C, to cold winters, when February lows sit around 1°C (a swing of about 22°C across the year). November is usually the wettest month, and Vancouver sees roughly 2034 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Vancouver

The most comfortable time to visit Vancouver is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest November rain is behind you.

How Vancouver's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.4°C

Around Vancouver, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.4°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

1995: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average1996: −0.9°C vs the 30-year average1997: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average1998: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average1999: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2000: −0.7°C vs the 30-year average2001: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2002: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2003: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2004: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2005: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2006: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2007: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2008: −1.0°C vs the 30-year average2009: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2010: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2011: −1.0°C vs the 30-year average2012: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2013: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2014: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2015: +1.2°C vs the 30-year average2016: +0.7°C vs the 30-year average2017: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2018: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2019: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2020: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2021: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2022: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2023: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2024: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 25°C

6 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −5 vs the 30-year average1996: −1 vs the 30-year average1997: −4 vs the 30-year average1998: +0 vs the 30-year average1999: −8 vs the 30-year average2000: −8 vs the 30-year average2001: −6 vs the 30-year average2002: −2 vs the 30-year average2003: +2 vs the 30-year average2004: +12 vs the 30-year average2005: −4 vs the 30-year average2006: −3 vs the 30-year average2007: −7 vs the 30-year average2008: −2 vs the 30-year average2009: +5 vs the 30-year average2010: −3 vs the 30-year average2011: −8 vs the 30-year average2012: −4 vs the 30-year average2013: −5 vs the 30-year average2014: +6 vs the 30-year average2015: +13 vs the 30-year average2016: +2 vs the 30-year average2017: +2 vs the 30-year average2018: +13 vs the 30-year average2019: −8 vs the 30-year average2020: −2 vs the 30-year average2021: +7 vs the 30-year average2022: +7 vs the 30-year average2023: +1 vs the 30-year average2024: +0 vs the 30-year average

Frost nights

no clear change

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +5 vs the 30-year average1996: +23 vs the 30-year average1997: −3 vs the 30-year average1998: −1 vs the 30-year average1999: −13 vs the 30-year average2000: +1 vs the 30-year average2001: −5 vs the 30-year average2002: −3 vs the 30-year average2003: −7 vs the 30-year average2004: −11 vs the 30-year average2005: +3 vs the 30-year average2006: −3 vs the 30-year average2007: −4 vs the 30-year average2008: +6 vs the 30-year average2009: +13 vs the 30-year average2010: −6 vs the 30-year average2011: +5 vs the 30-year average2012: −7 vs the 30-year average2013: +1 vs the 30-year average2014: +5 vs the 30-year average2015: −13 vs the 30-year average2016: +1 vs the 30-year average2017: +10 vs the 30-year average2018: −3 vs the 30-year average2019: +5 vs the 30-year average2020: −5 vs the 30-year average2021: +5 vs the 30-year average2022: +9 vs the 30-year average2023: −9 vs the 30-year average2024: −7 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−2%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +5% vs the 30-year average1996: +9% vs the 30-year average1997: +5% vs the 30-year average1998: +2% vs the 30-year average1999: +5% vs the 30-year average2000: −2% vs the 30-year average2001: +2% vs the 30-year average2002: −2% vs the 30-year average2003: −2% vs the 30-year average2004: −6% vs the 30-year average2005: −6% vs the 30-year average2006: +5% vs the 30-year average2007: −2% vs the 30-year average2008: −2% vs the 30-year average2009: −2% vs the 30-year average2010: +5% vs the 30-year average2011: −2% vs the 30-year average2012: +2% vs the 30-year average2013: −10% vs the 30-year average2014: −2% vs the 30-year average2015: −6% vs the 30-year average2016: +5% vs the 30-year average2017: +5% vs the 30-year average2018: −2% vs the 30-year average2019: −2% vs the 30-year average2020: +2% vs the 30-year average2021: +5% vs the 30-year average2022: −6% vs the 30-year average2023: −2% vs the 30-year average2024: +2% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >25°C vs avgFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995+0.3°C−5+5+5%
1996−0.9°C−1+23+9%
1997+0.2°C−4−3+5%
1998+0.5°C+0−1+2%
1999−0.5°C−8−13+5%
2000−0.7°C−8+1−2%
2001−0.5°C−6−5+2%
2002−0.3°C−2−3−2%
2003+0.3°C+2−7−2%
2004+0.6°C+12−11−6%
2005+0.2°C−4+3−6%
2006+0.1°C−3−3+5%
2007−0.5°C−7−4−2%
2008−1.0°C−2+6−2%
2009−0.5°C+5+13−2%
2010−0.2°C−3−6+5%
2011−1.0°C−8+5−2%
2012−0.5°C−4−7+2%
2013−0.2°C−5+1−10%
2014+0.5°C+6+5−2%
2015+1.2°C+13−13−6%
2016+0.7°C+2+1+5%
2017−0.2°C+2+10+5%
2018+0.5°C+13−3−2%
2019+0.1°C−8+5−2%
2020+0.2°C−2−5+2%
2021+0.1°C+7+5+5%
2022−0.1°C+7+9−6%
2023+0.5°C+1−9−2%
2024−0.1°C+0−7+2%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Vancouver, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Vancouver?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
87±0.7°C94±3.2 km/h9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
84
/100rank #2
83±1.0°C90±4.8 km/h8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
81
/100rank #3
83±0.9°C93±3.3 km/h7184% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the American model has been the most accurate forecast for Vancouver, scoring 92/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the European at 84. See the full CA accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
Loading ratings…
EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°9° to 11°±44%48% to 92% chance
Tomorrow±3°12° to 14°±37%57% to 94% chance
Mon±2°12° to 14°±15%14% to 29% chance
Tue±1°10° to 11°±26%33% to 59% chance
Wed±1°9° to 9°±19%48% to 67% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Vancouver

today, local time
Sunrise
07:47
Sunset
18:04
Daylight
10h 17m

Common questions

What's the weather in Vancouver today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 10° in Vancouver today. Tomorrow: heavy drizzle, around 13°, with a 94% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Vancouver today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Vancouver on Sunday, October 25: every model gives at least 57% (Env. Canada 76%, European 94%, American 57%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 92%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Vancouver?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Vancouver (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the European at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Vancouver?
August is typically the warmest month in Vancouver, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Vancouver get?
The coldest month in Vancouver is February, when overnight lows average about 1°C.
How much rain does Vancouver get?
Vancouver sees roughly 2034 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Vancouver?
The most comfortable time to visit Vancouver is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest November rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Vancouver?
Rarely - Vancouver very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.
Is Vancouver getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Vancouver, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.4°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

Nearby

More CA weather