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CheckWeather CA›South Arm
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

South Arm weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put South Arm's high today between 9° and 12°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 13°, with a 94% chance of rain.

10°6°
13°8°
13°6°
11°7°
9°6°
8°5°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±2°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
7°
Mainly clear
Feels 4° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 90%
EuropeanECMWF
7°
Light drizzle
Feels 6° · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 95%
AmericanNOAA GFS
5°
Overcast
Feels 3° · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 91%

Latest for South Arm: Env. Canada (GEM model): 7° Mainly clear · European (ECMWF): 7° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 5° Overcast.

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South Arm weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

South Arm swings 22°C across the year, from 23°C highs in August to 1°C lows in January, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1464 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
23°C average high
Coldest month
January
1°C average low
Wettest month
November
1464 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
7,503
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around South Arm and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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South Arm hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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South Arm 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
10° 6°
±3°
Tomorrow
Drizzle
13° 8°
±2°
Mon
Partly cloudy
13° 6°
models agree
Tue
Showers
11° 7°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
9° 6°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
8° 5°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
8° 3°
±3°
Sat
Cloudy
8° 3°
±3°
Sun
Cloudy
10° 4°
±5°
Mon
Light rain
11° 6°
models agree
Tue
Heavy drizzle
12° 5°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
11° 7°
models agree
Thu
Heavy drizzle
12° 9°
±4°

South Arm, British Columbia is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 23°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 1°C), with roughly 1464 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for South Arm right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

South Arm climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
6°
1°
Feb
7°
1°
Mar
9°
2°
Apr
12°
5°
May
16°
8°
Jun
19°
11°
Jul
22°
13°
Aug
23°
14°
Sep
19°
11°
Oct
14°
8°
Nov
9°
4°
Dec
6°
1°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around South Arm has changed since 1995

South Arm sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Vancouver. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Vancouver page.

Which forecast is most accurate in South Arm?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
83±0.9°C96±2.1 km/h8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
85
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C95±2.3 km/h7184% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
European logo
European
85
/100rank #3
82±1.0°C93±3.7 km/h8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°9° to 12°±44%48% to 92% chance
Tomorrow±2°12° to 15°±38%56% to 94% chance
Mon±2°12° to 14°±13%16% to 29% chance
Tue±1°10° to 11°±32%27% to 59% chance
Wed±1°9° to 10°±19%48% to 67% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in South Arm

today, local time
Sunrise
07:47
Sunset
18:04
Daylight
10h 17m

Common questions

What's the weather in South Arm today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model put South Arm's high today between 9° and 12°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 13°, with a 94% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in South Arm today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in South Arm on Sunday, October 25: every model gives at least 56% (Env. Canada 76%, European 94%, American 56%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 92%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for South Arm?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for South Arm (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in South Arm?
August is typically the warmest month in South Arm, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does South Arm get?
The coldest month in South Arm is January, when overnight lows average about 1°C.
How much rain does South Arm get?
South Arm sees roughly 1464 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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