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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Sioux Lookout weather

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Drizzle,cooler tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 17° in Sioux Lookout today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 6°, with a 6% chance of rain.

17°6°
6°2°
4°-1°
6°-1°
9°5°
8°4°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
15°
Clear
Feels 11° · Wind 28 km/h · Humidity 78%
EuropeanECMWF
12°
Light rain
Feels 8° · Wind 28 km/h · Humidity 91%
AmericanNOAA GFS
14°
Clear
Feels 10° · Wind 26 km/h · Humidity 72%

Latest for Sioux Lookout: Env. Canada (GEM model): 15° Clear · European (ECMWF): 12° Light rain · American (NOAA GFS): 14° Clear.

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Sioux Lookout weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Sioux Lookout swings 41°C across the year, from 23°C highs in July to -18°C lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 693 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
23°C average high
Coldest month
January
-18°C average low
Wettest month
June
693 mm a year
Below freezing
6 months
January, February, March, April, November and December
Comfortable
3 months
July, August and September
Residents
5,839
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Sioux Lookout and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Sioux Lookout hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Sioux Lookout 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
17° 6°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
6° 2°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
4° -1°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
6° -1°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
9° 5°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
8° 4°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
9° 4°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
12° 6°
±2°
Sun
Light rain
12° 4°
models agree
Mon
Heavy snow
4° 1°
models agree
Tue
Snow
3° 0°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
6° -1°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
4° -1°
models agree

Sioux Lookout, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 23°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -18°C), with roughly 693 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Sioux Lookout right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Sioux Lookout climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-13°
-18°
Feb
-9°
-17°
Mar
-3°
-10°
Apr
6°
-3°
May
15°
3°
Jun
21°
12°
Jul
23°
15°
Aug
21°
14°
Sep
17°
9°
Oct
7°
2°
Nov
-2°
-6°
Dec
-9°
-15°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Sioux Lookout's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.7°C

Around Sioux Lookout, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.7°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

1995: −0.7°C vs the 30-year average1996: −2.2°C vs the 30-year average1997: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average1998: +1.9°C vs the 30-year average1999: +1.2°C vs the 30-year average2000: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2001: +0.8°C vs the 30-year average2002: −0.9°C vs the 30-year average2003: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2004: −1.2°C vs the 30-year average2005: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2006: +1.1°C vs the 30-year average2007: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2008: −1.7°C vs the 30-year average2009: −1.1°C vs the 30-year average2010: +1.1°C vs the 30-year average2011: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2012: +1.5°C vs the 30-year average2013: −1.9°C vs the 30-year average2014: −2.3°C vs the 30-year average2015: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2016: +0.7°C vs the 30-year average2017: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2018: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2019: −1.0°C vs the 30-year average2020: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2021: +1.8°C vs the 30-year average2022: −0.9°C vs the 30-year average2023: +1.5°C vs the 30-year average2024: +2.1°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 25°C

6 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +18 vs the 30-year average1996: +10 vs the 30-year average1997: −2 vs the 30-year average1998: +12 vs the 30-year average1999: −1 vs the 30-year average2000: −24 vs the 30-year average2001: −3 vs the 30-year average2002: −2 vs the 30-year average2003: +11 vs the 30-year average2004: −21 vs the 30-year average2005: −5 vs the 30-year average2006: +2 vs the 30-year average2007: +1 vs the 30-year average2008: −22 vs the 30-year average2009: −22 vs the 30-year average2010: −6 vs the 30-year average2011: +5 vs the 30-year average2012: +14 vs the 30-year average2013: −3 vs the 30-year average2014: −19 vs the 30-year average2015: −5 vs the 30-year average2016: −11 vs the 30-year average2017: −18 vs the 30-year average2018: +19 vs the 30-year average2019: +6 vs the 30-year average2020: +13 vs the 30-year average2021: +26 vs the 30-year average2022: −6 vs the 30-year average2023: +22 vs the 30-year average2024: +14 vs the 30-year average

Frost nights

9 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +6 vs the 30-year average1996: +15 vs the 30-year average1997: +20 vs the 30-year average1998: −11 vs the 30-year average1999: −1 vs the 30-year average2000: −6 vs the 30-year average2001: −5 vs the 30-year average2002: +30 vs the 30-year average2003: +4 vs the 30-year average2004: +6 vs the 30-year average2005: −6 vs the 30-year average2006: −5 vs the 30-year average2007: −9 vs the 30-year average2008: +5 vs the 30-year average2009: +10 vs the 30-year average2010: −29 vs the 30-year average2011: −4 vs the 30-year average2012: −5 vs the 30-year average2013: +12 vs the 30-year average2014: +8 vs the 30-year average2015: −12 vs the 30-year average2016: −6 vs the 30-year average2017: −5 vs the 30-year average2018: +9 vs the 30-year average2019: −0 vs the 30-year average2020: +13 vs the 30-year average2021: −5 vs the 30-year average2022: +1 vs the 30-year average2023: −6 vs the 30-year average2024: −16 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

+2%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −2% vs the 30-year average1996: −2% vs the 30-year average1997: −2% vs the 30-year average1998: −2% vs the 30-year average1999: +2% vs the 30-year average2000: −2% vs the 30-year average2001: −2% vs the 30-year average2002: −2% vs the 30-year average2003: −2% vs the 30-year average2004: +2% vs the 30-year average2005: −2% vs the 30-year average2006: −6% vs the 30-year average2007: +2% vs the 30-year average2008: +2% vs the 30-year average2009: −2% vs the 30-year average2010: −2% vs the 30-year average2011: −2% vs the 30-year average2012: −2% vs the 30-year average2013: −2% vs the 30-year average2014: +2% vs the 30-year average2015: +2% vs the 30-year average2016: −2% vs the 30-year average2017: +2% vs the 30-year average2018: −2% vs the 30-year average2019: +2% vs the 30-year average2020: +2% vs the 30-year average2021: +2% vs the 30-year average2022: +6% vs the 30-year average2023: −2% vs the 30-year average2024: +2% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >25°C vs avgFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.7°C+18+6−2%
1996−2.2°C+10+15−2%
1997−0.8°C−2+20−2%
1998+1.9°C+12−11−2%
1999+1.2°C−1−1+2%
2000−0.5°C−24−6−2%
2001+0.8°C−3−5−2%
2002−0.9°C−2+30−2%
2003±0.0°C+11+4−2%
2004−1.2°C−21+6+2%
2005+0.1°C−5−6−2%
2006+1.1°C+2−5−6%
2007−0.1°C+1−9+2%
2008−1.7°C−22+5+2%
2009−1.1°C−22+10−2%
2010+1.1°C−6−29−2%
2011+0.3°C+5−4−2%
2012+1.5°C+14−5−2%
2013−1.9°C−3+12−2%
2014−2.3°C−19+8+2%
2015+0.3°C−5−12+2%
2016+0.7°C−11−6−2%
2017−0.2°C−18−5+2%
2018−0.4°C+19+9−2%
2019−1.0°C+6−0+2%
2020+0.5°C+13+13+2%
2021+1.8°C+26−5+2%
2022−0.9°C−6+1+6%
2023+1.5°C+22−6−2%
2024+2.1°C+14−16+2%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Sioux Lookout, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Sioux Lookout?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C97±1.6 km/h9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
83
/100rank #2
90±0.6°C90±5.2 km/h7184% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
82
/100rank #3
87±0.7°C96±2.1 km/h6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°16° to 18°±55%43% to 98% chance
Tomorrow±3°4° to 8°±6%0% to 6% chance
Mon±2°3° to 5°±5%0% to 5% chance
Tue±2°5° to 7°±40%29% to 69% chance
Wed±3°8° to 11°±15%50% to 65% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Sioux Lookout

today, local time
Sunrise
07:44
Sunset
17:58
Daylight
10h 14m

Common questions

What's the weather in Sioux Lookout today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 17° in Sioux Lookout today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 6°, with a 6% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Sioux Lookout today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Sioux Lookout on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 6% (Env. Canada 0%, European 6%, American 1%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 98%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Sioux Lookout?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Sioux Lookout (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Sioux Lookout?
July is typically the warmest month in Sioux Lookout, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Sioux Lookout get?
The coldest month in Sioux Lookout is January, when overnight lows average about -18°C.
How much rain does Sioux Lookout get?
Sioux Lookout sees roughly 693 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.
Is Sioux Lookout getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Sioux Lookout, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.7°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

Nearby

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