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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Northwood weather

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Drizzle,cooler tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Northwood's high today between 17° and 20°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 12°, with a 1% chance of rain.

19°9°
12°4°
7°1°
8°1°
13°8°
13°5°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±2°Wednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
10°
Partly cloudy
Feels 9° · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 96%
EuropeanECMWF
11°
Light drizzle
Feels 10° · Wind 9 km/h · Humidity 94%
AmericanNOAA GFS
10°
Overcast
Feels 9° · Wind 9 km/h · Humidity 95%

Latest for Northwood: Env. Canada (GEM model): 10° Partly cloudy · European (ECMWF): 11° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 10° Overcast.

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Northwood weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Northwood swings 36°C across the year, from 21°C highs in July to -15°C lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 665 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 18 days a year at 25°C or above, 1 of them at 30°C or above, 169 frost nights, and rain on 109 days.

Warmest month
July
21°C average high
Coldest month
January
-15°C average low
Wettest month
June
665 mm a year
Comfortable
3 months
July, August and September
Residents
14,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
87/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
18 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
169 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
109 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Northwood’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Northwood and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Northwood hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Northwood 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
19° 9°
±3°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
12° 4°
±4°
Mon
Cloudy
7° 1°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
8° 1°
±2°
Wed
Showers
13° 8°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
13° 5°
±3°
Fri
Drizzle
10° 4°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
13° 7°
±4°
Sun
Heavy drizzle
13° 8°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
10° 3°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
6° 1°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
8° 0°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
8° 2°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
9° 2°
±6°

Northwood, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 21°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -15°C), with roughly 665 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Northwood right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Northwood climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-9°
-15°
Feb
-6°
-15°
Mar
-1°
-8°
Apr
7°
-1°
May
13°
4°
Jun
18°
9°
Jul
21°
13°
Aug
21°
13°
Sep
16°
8°
Oct
10°
3°
Nov
2°
-4°
Dec
-6°
-11°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Northwood has changed since 1995

Northwood sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Thunder Bay. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Thunder Bay page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Northwood?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
85±0.9°C97±1.7 km/h8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
85
/100rank #2
70±1.7°C94±2.8 km/h9597% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
84
/100rank #3
73±1.5°C94±2.8 km/h8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°17° to 20°±64%21% to 85% chance
Tomorrow±4°10° to 13°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±2°6° to 8°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°7° to 9°±27%42% to 69% chance
Wed±4°11° to 15°±19%51% to 70% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Northwood

today, local time
Sunrise
08:30
Sunset
18:50
Daylight
10h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Northwood today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Northwood's high today between 17° and 20°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 12°, with a 1% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Northwood today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Northwood on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 1% (Env. Canada 0%, European 0%, American 1%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 85%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Northwood?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Northwood (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Northwood?
July is typically the warmest month in Northwood, with average highs around 21°C.
How cold does Northwood get?
The coldest month in Northwood is January, when overnight lows average about -15°C.
How much rain does Northwood get?
Northwood sees roughly 665 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather