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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CANorthwood
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Northwood weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 23° in Northwood today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 20°, with a 81% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.

23°14°
20°16°
22°16°
22°16°
19°12°
23°11°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±5°Tuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±5°Fridaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
23°
Cloudy
Today 23°·Low 14°·Rain 11%
EuropeanECMWF
23°
Cloudy
Today 23°·Low 15°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
24°
Partly cloudy
Today 24°·Low 13°·Rain 3%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Northwood and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
23° 14°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
20° 16°
±5°
Tue
Heavy showers
22° 16°
±5°
Wed
Drizzle
22° 16°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
19° 12°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
23° 11°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
18° 12°
±11°
Sun
Cloudy
15°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
18°
±4°
Tue
Mostly clear
21° 10°
±7°
Wed
Mostly clear
18° 10°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
18° 10°
models agree
Fri
Rain
17° 11°
models agree
Sat
Rain
18° 13°
±3°

Northwood is a small town of about 14,000 people in Ontario, sitting at 48.4°N in a temperate climate zone. Env. Canada, European, American each forecast Northwood with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Thunder Bay, Westfort, College Heights.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Northwood?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
80
/100rank #1
84±0.9°C96±2.0 km/t6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
69
/100rank #2
62±2.1°C94±3.2 km/t5877% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
68
/100rank #3
62±2.1°C93±3.4 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°23° to 24°±11%0% to 11% chance
Tomorrow±5°18° to 22°±50%31% to 81% chance
Tue±5°20° to 25°±2%96% to 98% chance
Wed±4°21° to 25°±15%19% to 34% chance
Thu±5°16° to 21°±6%4% to 10% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Northwood

today, local time
Sunrise
07:21
Sunset
20:28
Daylight
13h 7m

Common questions

What's the weather in Northwood today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Northwood today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Northwood today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Northwood and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Northwood?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Northwood (CheckWeather Score 80/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 69. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More CA weather