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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Saint-Cesaire weather

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Mostly clear,warmer tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 13° in Saint-Cesaire today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 16°, with a 0% chance of rain.

13°-2°
16°-1°
13°4°
6°-1°
8°-4°
14°2°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
0°
Clear
Feels -3° · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 98%
EuropeanECMWF
2°
Clear
Feels -2° · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 84%
AmericanNOAA GFS
-1°
Clear
Feels -4° · Wind 3 km/h · Humidity 85%

Latest for Saint-Cesaire: Env. Canada (GEM model): 0° Clear · European (ECMWF): 2° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): -1° Clear.

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Saint-Cesaire weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Saint-Cesaire swings 39°C across the year, from 25°C highs in July to -14°C lows in February, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1133 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
25°C average high
Coldest month
February
-14°C average low
Wettest month
July
1133 mm a year
Below freezing
5 months
January, February, March, November and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
5,972
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Saint-Cesaire and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Saint-Cesaire hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Saint-Cesaire 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
13° -2°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
16° -1°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
13° 4°
±5°
Tue
Mostly clear
6° -1°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
8° -4°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
14° 2°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
15° 6°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
12° 2°
±5°
Sun
Cloudy
16° 6°
±6°
Mon
Light rain
14° 8°
±12°
Tue
Light rain
14° 5°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
7° 0°
models agree
Thu
Snow
6° -1°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
6° -1°
±6°

Saint-Cesaire, Quebec is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -14°C), with roughly 1133 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Saint-Cesaire right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Saint-Cesaire climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-6°
-13°
Feb
-3°
-14°
Mar
1°
-8°
Apr
11°
0°
May
19°
7°
Jun
23°
13°
Jul
25°
16°
Aug
23°
15°
Sep
20°
10°
Oct
12°
4°
Nov
6°
-2°
Dec
-2°
-9°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Saint-Cesaire has changed since 1995

Saint-Cesaire sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu. That square ran 1.0°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Saint-Cesaire?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C98±1.2 km/h100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
91
/100rank #2
90±0.6°C96±1.9 km/h8994% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
86
/100rank #3
90±0.6°C95±2.5 km/h7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°12° to 14°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°16° to 17°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±5°11° to 15°±60%11% to 71% chance
Tue±2°5° to 7°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±1°8° to 9°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Saint-Cesaire

today, local time
Sunrise
07:20
Sunset
17:51
Daylight
10h 31m

Common questions

What's the weather in Saint-Cesaire today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 13° in Saint-Cesaire today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 16°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Saint-Cesaire today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Saint-Cesaire on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (Env. Canada 0%, European 0%, American 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Saint-Cesaire?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Saint-Cesaire (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 91. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Saint-Cesaire?
July is typically the warmest month in Saint-Cesaire, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Saint-Cesaire get?
The coldest month in Saint-Cesaire is February, when overnight lows average about -14°C.
How much rain does Saint-Cesaire get?
Saint-Cesaire sees roughly 1133 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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