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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CAMedicine Hat
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Medicine Hat weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 21° in Medicine Hat today. Tomorrow looks rain around 18°, with a 98% chance of rain.

21°11°
18°14°
16°13°
19°13°
24°11°
21°12°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±7°Wednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±6°
Env. CanadaGEM model
21°
Light rain
Today 21°·Low 11°·Rain 16%
EuropeanECMWF
20°
Light drizzle
Today 20°·Low 12°·Rain 98%
AmericanNOAA GFS
21°
Cloudy
Today 21°·Low 10°·Rain 25%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Medicine Hat and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
21° 11°
models agree
Tomorrow
Rain
18° 14°
±3°
Mon
Showers
16° 13°
models agree
Tue
Showers
19° 13°
±7°
Wed
Cloudy
24° 11°
±4°
Thu
Clear
21° 12°
±6°
Fri
Light drizzle
14°
±6°
Sat
Light drizzle
12°
±5°
Sun
Partly cloudy
19°
±6°
Mon
Showers
22°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
24° 10°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
20° 12°
±6°
Thu
Partly cloudy
22° 10°
±5°
Fri
Drizzle
16° 10°
±6°

Medicine Hat, Alberta is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 29°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -10°C), with roughly 371 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Medicine Hat right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Medicine Hat climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-2°
-10°
Feb
-8°
Mar
-10°
Apr
12°
May
20°
Jun
24°
11°
Jul
29°
15°
Aug
27°
14°
Sep
23°
11°
Oct
14°
Nov
-4°
Dec
-5°

Which forecast is most accurate in Medicine Hat?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C97±1.3 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
77
/100rank #2
78±1.2°C94±3.2 km/t6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
73
/100rank #3
83±0.9°C93±3.5 km/t4771% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°20° to 21°±82%16% to 98% chance
Tomorrow±3°17° to 19°±30%68% to 98% chance
Mon±2°16° to 17°±16%84% to 100% chance
Tue±7°15° to 22°±3%92% to 95% chance
Wed±4°22° to 26°±8%2% to 10% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Medicine Hat

today, local time
Sunrise
06:44
Sunset
19:58
Daylight
13h 14m

Common questions

What's the weather in Medicine Hat today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Medicine Hat today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Medicine Hat today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Medicine Hat and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Medicine Hat?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Medicine Hat (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 77. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Medicine Hat?
July is typically the warmest month in Medicine Hat, with average highs around 29°C.
How cold does Medicine Hat get?
The coldest month in Medicine Hat is January, when overnight lows average about -10°C.
How much rain does Medicine Hat get?
Medicine Hat sees roughly 371 mm of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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