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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CACoaldale
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Coaldale weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 17° in Coaldale today. Tomorrow looks rain around 18°, with a 100% chance of rain.

17°10°
18°10°
16°12°
18°11°
24°11°
22°12°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±7°Wednesdaysplit ±2°Thursdaysplit ±6°
Env. CanadaGEM model
17°
Cloudy
Today 17°·Low ·Rain 67%
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Light drizzle
Today 16°·Low 10°·Rain 87%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Cloudy
Today 17°·Low 11°·Rain 42%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Coaldale and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
17° 10°
models agree
Tomorrow
Rain
18° 10°
models agree
Mon
Showers
16° 12°
models agree
Tue
Showers
18° 11°
±7°
Wed
Cloudy
24° 11°
±2°
Thu
Clear
22° 12°
±6°
Fri
Cloudy
14°
±9°
Sat
Heavy drizzle
12°
±8°
Sun
Mostly clear
20°
±5°
Mon
Clear
21°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
22°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
20° 11°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
21°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
15°
±8°

Coaldale, Alberta is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 28°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -9°C), with roughly 396 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Coaldale right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Coaldale climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-1°
-9°
Feb
-8°
Mar
-8°
Apr
12°
May
20°
Jun
23°
10°
Jul
28°
14°
Aug
27°
13°
Sep
22°
10°
Oct
14°
Nov
-3°
Dec
-3°

Which forecast is most accurate in Coaldale?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C97±1.3 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
90
/100rank #2
81±1.1°C92±4.1 km/t100100% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
84
/100rank #3
80±1.1°C95±2.4 km/t8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°16° to 17°±45%42% to 87% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree18° to 18°±27%73% to 100% chance
Mon±2°14° to 17°±22%78% to 100% chance
Tue±7°14° to 21°±25%71% to 96% chance
Wed±2°23° to 25°±5%0% to 5% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Coaldale

today, local time
Sunrise
06:52
Sunset
20:05
Daylight
13h 13m

Common questions

What's the weather in Coaldale today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Coaldale today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Coaldale today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Coaldale and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Coaldale?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Coaldale (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 90. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Coaldale?
July is typically the warmest month in Coaldale, with average highs around 28°C.
How cold does Coaldale get?
The coldest month in Coaldale is January, when overnight lows average about -9°C.
How much rain does Coaldale get?
Coaldale sees roughly 396 mm of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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