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CheckWeather CA›McKenzie Lake
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

McKenzie Lake weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 3° in McKenzie Lake today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 1°, with a 71% chance of rain.

3°-3°
1°-3°
3°-4°
6°-3°
0°-4°
0°-5°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaysplit ±2°Wednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±6°
Env. CanadaGEM model
-3°
Clear
Feels -8° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 75%
EuropeanECMWF
-3°
Overcast
Feels -7° · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 72%
AmericanNOAA GFS
-1°
Overcast
Feels -4° · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 79%

Latest for McKenzie Lake: Env. Canada (GEM model): -3° Clear · European (ECMWF): -3° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): -1° Overcast.

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McKenzie Lake weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

McKenzie Lake swings 39°C across the year, from 24°C highs in July to -15°C lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 437 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
24°C average high
Coldest month
January
-15°C average low
Wettest month
June
437 mm a year
Below freezing
7 months
January, February, March, April, October, November and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, July, August and September
Residents
13,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around McKenzie Lake and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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McKenzie Lake hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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McKenzie Lake 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
3° -3°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
1° -3°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
3° -4°
±5°
Tue
Light drizzle
6° -3°
±2°
Wed
Snow
0° -4°
±5°
Thu
Snow
0° -5°
±6°
Fri
Light snow
1° -4°
±11°
Sat
Cloudy
4° -7°
±7°
Sun
Cloudy
8° -5°
±4°
Mon
Cloudy
8° -1°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
9° 0°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
9° 0°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
11° 2°
±9°

McKenzie Lake, Alberta is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -15°C), with roughly 437 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for McKenzie Lake right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

McKenzie Lake climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-3°
-15°
Feb
0°
-12°
Mar
3°
-10°
Apr
11°
-2°
May
17°
3°
Jun
20°
7°
Jul
24°
10°
Aug
23°
10°
Sep
19°
5°
Oct
11°
-1°
Nov
1°
-8°
Dec
-4°
-13°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around McKenzie Lake has changed since 1995

McKenzie Lake sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Chestermere. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Chestermere page.

Which forecast is most accurate in McKenzie Lake?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
94±0.4°C96±2.2 km/h100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
93
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C97±1.6 km/h9597% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
85
/100rank #3
74±1.4°C90±5.0 km/h9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°2° to 4°±10%19% to 29% chance
Tomorrow±1°1° to 2°±38%33% to 71% chance
Mon±5°1° to 6°±12%2% to 14% chance
Tue±2°5° to 7°±22%12% to 34% chance
Wed±5°-3° to 3°±12%31% to 43% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in McKenzie Lake

today, local time
Sunrise
08:14
Sunset
18:24
Daylight
10h 10m

Common questions

What's the weather in McKenzie Lake today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 3° in McKenzie Lake today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 1°, with a 71% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in McKenzie Lake today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in McKenzie Lake on Sunday, October 25: Env. Canada 71%, European 33%, American 34%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 29%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for McKenzie Lake?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for McKenzie Lake (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 93. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in McKenzie Lake?
July is typically the warmest month in McKenzie Lake, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does McKenzie Lake get?
The coldest month in McKenzie Lake is January, when overnight lows average about -15°C.
How much rain does McKenzie Lake get?
McKenzie Lake sees roughly 437 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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