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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CAChestermere
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Chestermere weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Chestermere's high today between 10° and 13°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks light rain around 14°, with a 90% chance of rain.

12°
14°
14°11°
20°10°
24°
19°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±10°
Env. CanadaGEM model
13°
Light drizzle
Today 13°·Low ·Rain 48%
EuropeanECMWF
12°
Light drizzle
Today 12°·Low ·Rain 88%
AmericanNOAA GFS
10°
Cloudy
Today 10°·Low ·Rain 33%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Chestermere and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
12°
±3°
Tomorrow
Light rain
14°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
14° 11°
±3°
Tue
Rain
20° 10°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
24°
±3°
Thu
Clear
19°
±10°
Fri
Light drizzle
11°
±8°
Sat
Light drizzle
11°
models agree
Sun
Clear
19°
±5°
Mon
Light drizzle
20°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
19°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
19°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
20°
±3°
Fri
Drizzle
14°
±5°

Chestermere, Alberta is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -12°C), with roughly 463 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Chestermere right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Chestermere climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-3°
-12°
Feb
-10°
Mar
-11°
Apr
11°
-2°
May
19°
Jun
21°
Jul
25°
12°
Aug
24°
11°
Sep
20°
Oct
12°
Nov
-6°
Dec
-7°

Which forecast is most accurate in Chestermere?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C98±1.1 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
78
/100rank #2
81±1.1°C91±4.3 km/t6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
70
/100rank #3
72±1.5°C91±4.6 km/t5374% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°10° to 13°±55%33% to 88% chance
Tomorrow±1°13° to 14°±40%50% to 90% chance
Mon±3°13° to 16°±12%56% to 68% chance
Tue±5°17° to 22°±17%48% to 65% chance
Wed±3°23° to 25°±4%0% to 4% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Chestermere

today, local time
Sunrise
06:55
Sunset
20:12
Daylight
13h 17m

Common questions

What's the weather in Chestermere today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Chestermere today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Chestermere today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Chestermere and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Chestermere?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Chestermere (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Chestermere?
July is typically the warmest month in Chestermere, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Chestermere get?
The coldest month in Chestermere is January, when overnight lows average about -12°C.
How much rain does Chestermere get?
Chestermere sees roughly 463 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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