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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Longueuil weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 13° in Longueuil today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 15°, with a 0% chance of rain.

13°0°
15°2°
13°5°
7°1°
8°-1°
15°4°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°
Env. CanadaGEM model
14°
Clear
Today 14°·Low 1°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
12°
Partly cloudy
Today 12°·Low 3°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
12°
Fog
Today 12°·Low -3°·Rain 0%
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Longueuil weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Longueuil swings 40°C across the year, from 26°C highs in July to -14°C lows in February, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1047 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 66 days a year at 25°C or above, 12 of them at 30°C or above, 143 frost nights, and rain on 142 days.

Warmest month
July
26°C average high
Coldest month
February
-14°C average low
Wettest month
August
1047 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and September
Residents
229,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
96/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
66 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
143 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
142 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Longueuil’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Longueuil and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Longueuil hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Longueuil 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
13° 0°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
15° 2°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
13° 5°
±4°
Tue
Mostly clear
7° 1°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
8° -1°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
15° 4°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
15° 7°
±2°
Sat
Cloudy
11° 5°
±5°
Sun
Cloudy
16° 6°
±5°
Mon
Light rain
13° 9°
±8°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
13° 6°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
7° 2°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
7° 2°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
7° 2°
±4°

Longueuil, Quebec. Below we compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Longueuil right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Longueuil's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Longueuil weather by month

what to expect in Longueuil through the year, 1991-2020 averages

Here is Longueuil's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Longueuil by season.

Jan
-6°
-13°
Cold
Feb
-4°
-14°
Cold
Mar
2°
-7°
Cold
Apr
12°
1°
Cool
May
19°
8°
Mild
Jun
23°
14°
Warm
Jul
26°
18°
Warm
Aug
24°
16°
Warm
Wettest
Sep
21°
12°
Mild
Oct
13°
5°
Cool
Nov
6°
-1°
Cold
Dec
-2°
-8°
Cold

What Longueuil's weather is like through the year

Longueuil runs from warm summers, with July highs near 26°C, to cold winters, when February lows sit around -14°C (a swing of about 40°C across the year). August is usually the wettest month, and Longueuil sees roughly 1047 mm of precipitation annually. Overnight lows stay below freezing across 5 months (January, February, March, November and December), so Longueuil sees regular winter snowfall.

Best time to visit Longueuil

The most comfortable time to visit Longueuil is usually May, June, July and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest August rain is behind you.

How the weather around Longueuil has changed since 1995

Longueuil sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Montreal. That square ran 0.8°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Montreal page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Longueuil?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C98±0.9 km/h9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
89
/100rank #2
78±1.2°C97±1.7 km/h9597% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
84
/100rank #3
82±1.0°C97±1.7 km/h7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Longueuil, scoring 96/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the Env. Canada at 89. See the full CA accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°12° to 14°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°14° to 16°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±4°12° to 16°±48%11% to 59% chance
Tue±1°6° to 7°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±1°8° to 8°±4%0% to 4% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Longueuil

today, local time
Sunrise
07:22
Sunset
17:52
Daylight
10h 30m

Common questions

What's the weather in Longueuil today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 13° in Longueuil today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 15°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Longueuil today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Longueuil on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (Env. Canada 0%, European 0%, American 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Longueuil?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Longueuil (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 89. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Longueuil?
July is typically the warmest month in Longueuil, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Longueuil get?
The coldest month in Longueuil is February, when overnight lows average about -14°C.
How much rain does Longueuil get?
Longueuil sees roughly 1047 mm of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Longueuil?
The most comfortable time to visit Longueuil is usually May, June, July and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest August rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Longueuil?
Yes - overnight lows fall below freezing across 5 months (January, February, March, November and December) in Longueuil, so winter snowfall is common.

Nearby

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