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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CALafleche
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Lafleche weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Lafleche's high today between 22° and 25°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 25°, with a 10% chance of rain.

23°12°
25°14°
21°14°
22°14°
23°16°
18°12°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±2°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°Fridaysplit ±2°
Env. CanadaGEM model
19°
Clear
Feels 18° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 57%
EuropeanECMWF
19°
Clear
Feels 19° · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 69%
AmericanNOAA GFS
19°
Clear
Feels 19° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 58%

Latest for Lafleche: Env. Canada (GEM model): 19° Clear · European (ECMWF): 19° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 19° Clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Lafleche and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
23° 12°
±3°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
25° 14°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
21° 14°
±2°
Wed
Showers
22° 14°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
23° 16°
±4°
Fri
Mostly clear
18° 12°
±2°
Sat
Showers
24° 13°
±5°
Sun
Showers
24° 15°
±11°
Mon
Partly cloudy
19° 12°
±6°
Tue
Light drizzle
18° 13°
±2°
Wed
Mostly clear
19° 13°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
20° 12°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
19° 13°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
19° 10°
±4°

Lafleche is a small town of about 17,000 people in Quebec, sitting at 45.5°N in a temperate climate zone. Env. Canada, European, American each forecast Lafleche with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Greenfield Park, Longueuil, Saint-Hubert.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Lafleche?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
92±0.5°C97±1.4 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
73
/100rank #2
68±1.8°C93±3.4 km/t6581% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
68
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C96±2.1 km/t2961% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°22° to 25°±35%5% to 40% chance
Tomorrow±1°25° to 25°±10%0% to 10% chance
Tue±2°20° to 22°±21%10% to 31% chance
Wed±2°21° to 23°±6%82% to 88% chance
Thu±4°21° to 24°±10%73% to 83% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Lafleche

today, local time
Sunrise
06:21
Sunset
19:22
Daylight
13h 1m

Common questions

What's the weather in Lafleche today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Lafleche today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Lafleche today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Lafleche and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Lafleche?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Lafleche (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 73. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More CA weather