Forecast confidence: Medium· models disagree by 2°C
Laurentides weather
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Clear,rain likely tomorrow
Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Laurentides's high today between 11° and 13°, a 2° split. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 12°, with a 51% chance of rain.
Laurentides swings 41°C across the year, from 23°C highs in July to -18°C lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1187 mm of precipitation.
Warmest month
July
23°C average high
Coldest month
January
-18°C average low
Wettest month
July
1187 mm a year
Below freezing
6 months
January, February, March, April, November and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
13,000
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The weather map: all three models at once
Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Laurentides and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Laurentides hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three models
Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side
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Laurentides 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
12°-1°
±2°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
12°0°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
10°1°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
4°-3°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
6°-5°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
9°0°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
10°1°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
9°-1°
±6°
Sun
Cloudy
11°0°
±7°
Mon
Heavy drizzle
11°5°
±8°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
10°2°
±7°
Wed
Light rain
6°0°
±9°
Thu
Heavy drizzle
3°-1°
±5°
Fri
Drizzle
3°-3°
±3°
Laurentides, Quebec is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 23°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -18°C), with roughly 1187 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Laurentides right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-9°
-18°
Feb
-6°
-17°
Mar
-2°
-11°
Apr
9°
-2°
May
17°
6°
Jun
21°
11°
Jul
23°
14°
Aug
22°
13°
Sep
18°
8°
Oct
10°
2°
Nov
2°
-4°
Dec
-4°
-12°
Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How Laurentides' weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.7°C
Around Laurentides, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.7°C, within the normal swing from year to year.
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average
Days above 25°C
6 more days a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Frost nights
7 fewer nights a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
−2%
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
Year
Temp vs average
Days >25°C vs avg
Frost nights vs avg
Wind vs avg
1995
−0.5°C
+8
+1
+1%
1996
−0.7°C
−10
+15
+1%
1997
−1.4°C
−5
+14
+1%
1998
+1.2°C
−2
−11
+1%
1999
+0.7°C
+10
+5
+6%
2000
−0.9°C
−16
+5
+1%
2001
+0.5°C
+1
−5
−3%
2002
−0.3°C
+2
+19
+1%
2003
−0.9°C
+5
+2
−3%
2004
−1.3°C
−15
+9
+1%
2005
+0.3°C
+8
−5
+1%
2006
+1.0°C
+3
−5
−3%
2007
−0.5°C
−2
+3
+6%
2008
−0.3°C
−13
−9
−3%
2009
−0.6°C
−12
+8
+1%
2010
+1.3°C
+5
−4
+1%
2011
+0.5°C
+2
−6
−3%
2012
+0.9°C
−1
−6
−3%
2013
−0.2°C
−10
−3
−3%
2014
−0.7°C
−10
+1
+1%
2015
−0.7°C
−2
+4
+1%
2016
−0.1°C
−4
+7
−3%
2017
±0.0°C
−10
−11
+1%
2018
−0.5°C
+13
+12
+1%
2019
−1.0°C
−2
−0
+1%
2020
+0.4°C
+12
+11
+1%
2021
+1.5°C
+7
−15
−3%
2022
+0.2°C
+1
−5
+1%
2023
+1.2°C
+5
−9
−7%
2024
+2.1°C
+20
−10
−3%
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Laurentides, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in Laurentides?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
Provider
CheckWeather-score
Temp
Wind
Rain
Run by
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C
97±1.4 km/h
9597% hit
ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
87
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C
88±6.1 km/h
8290% hit
Environment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American
80
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C
92±4.2 km/h
6581% hit
NOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separately
Day
Temperature
Rain
Today
±2°11° to 13°
models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow
±2°11° to 13°
±51%0% to 51% chance
Mon
±1°9° to 10°
±75%5% to 80% chance
Tue
±2°3° to 5°
±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed
±1°5° to 7°
±4%0% to 4% chance
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.
Sunrise and sunset in Laurentides
today, local time
Sunrise
07:20
Sunset
17:45
Daylight
10h 25m
Common questions
What's the weather in Laurentides today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Laurentides's high today between 11° and 13°, a 2° split. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 12°, with a 51% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Laurentides today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Laurentides on Sunday, October 25: Env. Canada 0%, European 51%, American 50%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Laurentides?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Laurentides (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Laurentides?
July is typically the warmest month in Laurentides, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Laurentides get?
The coldest month in Laurentides is January, when overnight lows average about -18°C.
How much rain does Laurentides get?
Laurentides sees roughly 1187 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.
Is Laurentides getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Laurentides, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.7°C, within the normal swing from year to year.
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