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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

La Tuque weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 13° in La Tuque today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 16°, with a 41% chance of rain.

13°-2°
16°0°
10°2°
4°-3°
6°-4°
10°1°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±2°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
-2°
Clear
Feels -5° · Wind 1 km/h · Humidity 94%
EuropeanECMWF
2°
Overcast
Feels 0° · Wind 2 km/h · Humidity 89%
AmericanNOAA GFS
-2°
Fog
Feels -5° · Wind 2 km/h · Humidity 98%

Latest for La Tuque: Env. Canada (GEM model): -2° Clear · European (ECMWF): 2° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): -2° Fog.

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La Tuque weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

La Tuque swings 43°C across the year, from 24°C highs in July to -19°C lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 895 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
24°C average high
Coldest month
January
-19°C average low
Wettest month
July
895 mm a year
Below freezing
6 months
January, February, March, April, November and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
11,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around La Tuque and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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La Tuque hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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La Tuque 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
13° -2°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
16° 0°
±2°
Mon
Light drizzle
10° 2°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
4° -3°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
6° -4°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
10° 1°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
10° 1°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
9° -1°
±6°
Sun
Light drizzle
12° 0°
±8°
Mon
Drizzle
10° 5°
±11°
Tue
Light rain
10° 3°
±7°
Wed
Light rain
5° 0°
±6°
Thu
Light rain
4° -1°
±6°
Fri
Drizzle
3° -3°
models agree

La Tuque, Quebec is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -19°C), with roughly 895 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for La Tuque right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

La Tuque climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-9°
-19°
Feb
-6°
-17°
Mar
-1°
-11°
Apr
8°
-3°
May
17°
6°
Jun
22°
12°
Jul
24°
15°
Aug
23°
14°
Sep
19°
9°
Oct
10°
3°
Nov
4°
-3°
Dec
-4°
-12°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How La Tuque's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.7°C

Around La Tuque, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.7°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

1995: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average1996: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average1997: −1.6°C vs the 30-year average1998: +1.0°C vs the 30-year average1999: +0.7°C vs the 30-year average2000: −0.9°C vs the 30-year average2001: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2002: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2003: −0.9°C vs the 30-year average2004: −1.4°C vs the 30-year average2005: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2006: +1.1°C vs the 30-year average2007: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2008: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2009: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2010: +1.2°C vs the 30-year average2011: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2012: +0.9°C vs the 30-year average2013: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2014: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2015: −0.7°C vs the 30-year average2016: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2017: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2018: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2019: −1.1°C vs the 30-year average2020: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2021: +1.6°C vs the 30-year average2022: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2023: +1.2°C vs the 30-year average2024: +2.0°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 25°C

4 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +9 vs the 30-year average1996: −7 vs the 30-year average1997: −4 vs the 30-year average1998: −2 vs the 30-year average1999: +9 vs the 30-year average2000: −14 vs the 30-year average2001: −1 vs the 30-year average2002: +2 vs the 30-year average2003: +8 vs the 30-year average2004: −14 vs the 30-year average2005: +11 vs the 30-year average2006: −4 vs the 30-year average2007: +0 vs the 30-year average2008: −12 vs the 30-year average2009: −10 vs the 30-year average2010: +6 vs the 30-year average2011: −5 vs the 30-year average2012: +0 vs the 30-year average2013: −8 vs the 30-year average2014: −5 vs the 30-year average2015: −3 vs the 30-year average2016: −2 vs the 30-year average2017: −10 vs the 30-year average2018: +13 vs the 30-year average2019: −2 vs the 30-year average2020: +12 vs the 30-year average2021: +6 vs the 30-year average2022: −4 vs the 30-year average2023: +6 vs the 30-year average2024: +14 vs the 30-year average

Frost nights

7 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +2 vs the 30-year average1996: +14 vs the 30-year average1997: +14 vs the 30-year average1998: −13 vs the 30-year average1999: +5 vs the 30-year average2000: +6 vs the 30-year average2001: −2 vs the 30-year average2002: +20 vs the 30-year average2003: +2 vs the 30-year average2004: +10 vs the 30-year average2005: −5 vs the 30-year average2006: −9 vs the 30-year average2007: −0 vs the 30-year average2008: −8 vs the 30-year average2009: +16 vs the 30-year average2010: −1 vs the 30-year average2011: −12 vs the 30-year average2012: −8 vs the 30-year average2013: −5 vs the 30-year average2014: −0 vs the 30-year average2015: +2 vs the 30-year average2016: +7 vs the 30-year average2017: −9 vs the 30-year average2018: +14 vs the 30-year average2019: +2 vs the 30-year average2020: +12 vs the 30-year average2021: −11 vs the 30-year average2022: −8 vs the 30-year average2023: −12 vs the 30-year average2024: −11 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−1%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +1% vs the 30-year average1996: +1% vs the 30-year average1997: −3% vs the 30-year average1998: +1% vs the 30-year average1999: +5% vs the 30-year average2000: +1% vs the 30-year average2001: −3% vs the 30-year average2002: +1% vs the 30-year average2003: −3% vs the 30-year average2004: +1% vs the 30-year average2005: +1% vs the 30-year average2006: +1% vs the 30-year average2007: +5% vs the 30-year average2008: +1% vs the 30-year average2009: −3% vs the 30-year average2010: +1% vs the 30-year average2011: +1% vs the 30-year average2012: +1% vs the 30-year average2013: +1% vs the 30-year average2014: +5% vs the 30-year average2015: +5% vs the 30-year average2016: −3% vs the 30-year average2017: +1% vs the 30-year average2018: +1% vs the 30-year average2019: +1% vs the 30-year average2020: +1% vs the 30-year average2021: −3% vs the 30-year average2022: +1% vs the 30-year average2023: −7% vs the 30-year average2024: −3% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >25°C vs avgFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.5°C+9+2+1%
1996−0.8°C−7+14+1%
1997−1.6°C−4+14−3%
1998+1.0°C−2−13+1%
1999+0.7°C+9+5+5%
2000−0.9°C−14+6+1%
2001+0.5°C−1−2−3%
2002−0.4°C+2+20+1%
2003−0.9°C+8+2−3%
2004−1.4°C−14+10+1%
2005+0.4°C+11−5+1%
2006+1.1°C−4−9+1%
2007−0.5°C+0−0+5%
2008−0.2°C−12−8+1%
2009−0.6°C−10+16−3%
2010+1.2°C+6−1+1%
2011+0.5°C−5−12+1%
2012+0.9°C+0−8+1%
2013−0.2°C−8−5+1%
2014−0.6°C−5−0+5%
2015−0.7°C−3+2+5%
2016−0.2°C−2+7−3%
2017±0.0°C−10−9+1%
2018−0.5°C+13+14+1%
2019−1.1°C−2+2+1%
2020+0.3°C+12+12+1%
2021+1.6°C+6−11−3%
2022+0.1°C−4−8+1%
2023+1.2°C+6−12−7%
2024+2.0°C+14−11−3%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around La Tuque, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in La Tuque?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
98
/100rank #1
97±0.2°C97±1.3 km/h100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
85
/100rank #2
90±0.6°C91±4.6 km/h7687% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
84
/100rank #3
89±0.6°C93±3.7 km/h7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°13° to 14°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°14° to 17°±41%0% to 41% chance
Mon±2°10° to 11°±47%6% to 53% chance
Tue±2°3° to 5°±4%0% to 4% chance
Wed±1°6° to 7°±4%0% to 4% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in La Tuque

today, local time
Sunrise
07:23
Sunset
17:46
Daylight
10h 23m

Common questions

What's the weather in La Tuque today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 13° in La Tuque today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 16°, with a 41% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in La Tuque today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in La Tuque on Sunday, October 25: Env. Canada 0%, European 41%, American 21%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for La Tuque?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for La Tuque (CheckWeather Score 98/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in La Tuque?
July is typically the warmest month in La Tuque, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does La Tuque get?
The coldest month in La Tuque is January, when overnight lows average about -19°C.
How much rain does La Tuque get?
La Tuque sees roughly 895 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.
Is La Tuque getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around La Tuque, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.7°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

Nearby

More CA weather