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CheckWeather CA›Kincora
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Kincora weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 2° in Kincora today. Tomorrow: light snow, around 0°, with a 71% chance of rain.

2°-3°
0°-4°
3°-6°
5°-3°
0°-4°
-1°-6°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±5°
Env. CanadaGEM model
-2°
Mainly clear
Feels -7° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 73%
EuropeanECMWF
-5°
Overcast
Feels -9° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 81%
AmericanNOAA GFS
-3°
Overcast
Feels -7° · Wind 13 km/h · Humidity 71%

Latest for Kincora: Env. Canada (GEM model): -2° Mainly clear · European (ECMWF): -5° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): -3° Overcast.

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Kincora weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Kincora swings 34°C across the year, from 22°C highs in July to -12°C lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 479 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
22°C average high
Coldest month
January
-12°C average low
Wettest month
June
479 mm a year
Below freezing
6 months
January, February, March, April, November and December
Comfortable
3 months
July, August and September
Residents
7,030
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Kincora and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Kincora hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Kincora 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
2° -3°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light snow
0° -4°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
3° -6°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
5° -3°
models agree
Wed
Light snow
0° -4°
±4°
Thu
Snow
-1° -6°
±5°
Fri
Light snow
0° -7°
±10°
Sat
Cloudy
3° -8°
±7°
Sun
Cloudy
6° -4°
±6°
Mon
Cloudy
6° -1°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
8° -1°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
8° 0°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
10° 3°
±9°

Kincora, Alberta is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -12°C), with roughly 479 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Kincora right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Kincora climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-4°
-12°
Feb
0°
-10°
Mar
2°
-8°
Apr
9°
-2°
May
15°
3°
Jun
19°
7°
Jul
22°
10°
Aug
22°
10°
Sep
17°
6°
Oct
10°
0°
Nov
2°
-6°
Dec
-3°
-10°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Kincora has changed since 1995

Kincora sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Calgary. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Calgary page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Kincora?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
98
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C97±1.4 km/h100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
86
/100rank #2
85±0.8°C94±2.8 km/h8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
82
/100rank #3
79±1.2°C86±7.2 km/h8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°1° to 3°±9%17% to 26% chance
Tomorrow±1°0° to 1°±40%31% to 71% chance
Mon±3°1° to 5°±12%2% to 14% chance
Tue±2°4° to 6°±25%9% to 34% chance
Wed±4°-2° to 2°±13%33% to 46% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Kincora

today, local time
Sunrise
08:15
Sunset
18:24
Daylight
10h 9m

Common questions

What's the weather in Kincora today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 2° in Kincora today. Tomorrow: light snow, around 0°, with a 71% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Kincora today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Kincora on Sunday, October 25: Env. Canada 71%, European 31%, American 45%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 26%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Kincora?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Kincora (CheckWeather Score 98/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Kincora?
July is typically the warmest month in Kincora, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Kincora get?
The coldest month in Kincora is January, when overnight lows average about -12°C.
How much rain does Kincora get?
Kincora sees roughly 479 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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