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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CAEvanston
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Evanston weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Evanston's high today between 10° and 12°, a 2° split. Tomorrow looks rain around 14°, with a 90% chance of rain.

11°
14°
14°10°
19°
23°
18°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±12°
Env. CanadaGEM model
12°
Light drizzle
Today 12°·Low ·Rain 48%
EuropeanECMWF
11°
Light drizzle
Today 11°·Low ·Rain 90%
AmericanNOAA GFS
10°
Drizzle
Today 10°·Low ·Rain 36%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Evanston and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
11°
±2°
Tomorrow
Rain
14°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
14° 10°
±3°
Tue
Rain
19°
±5°
Wed
Clear
23°
±3°
Thu
Drizzle
18°
±12°
Fri
Drizzle
11°
±8°
Sat
Heavy drizzle
11°
±2°
Sun
Clear
20°
±4°
Mon
Clear
20°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
18°
±6°
Wed
Light drizzle
18°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
19°
±4°
Fri
Heavy drizzle
14°
±5°

Evanston, Alberta is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -11°C), with roughly 545 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Evanston right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Evanston climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-3°
-11°
Feb
-10°
Mar
-1°
-11°
Apr
-2°
May
17°
Jun
20°
Jul
24°
12°
Aug
23°
11°
Sep
19°
Oct
11°
Nov
-6°
Dec
-6°

Which forecast is most accurate in Evanston?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
92±0.5°C97±1.6 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
75
/100rank #2
63±2.1°C93±3.4 km/t7687% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
71
/100rank #3
70±1.6°C91±4.7 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°10° to 12°±54%36% to 90% chance
Tomorrow±1°13° to 14°±35%55% to 90% chance
Mon±3°12° to 15°±11%56% to 67% chance
Tue±5°17° to 22°±9%48% to 57% chance
Wed±3°22° to 25°±6%0% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Evanston

today, local time
Sunrise
06:56
Sunset
20:13
Daylight
13h 17m

Common questions

What's the weather in Evanston today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Evanston today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Evanston today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Evanston and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Evanston?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Evanston (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 75. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Evanston?
July is typically the warmest month in Evanston, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Evanston get?
The coldest month in Evanston is January, when overnight lows average about -11°C.
How much rain does Evanston get?
Evanston sees roughly 545 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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