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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Kensington-Cedar Cottage weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 10° in Kensington-Cedar Cottage today. Tomorrow: heavy drizzle, around 13°, with a 96% chance of rain.

10°6°
13°7°
13°7°
11°7°
9°5°
8°4°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
10°
Drizzle
Today 10°·Low 5°·Rain 95%
EuropeanECMWF
9°
Drizzle
Today 9°·Low 6°·Rain 92%
AmericanNOAA GFS
11°
Light rain
Today 11°·Low 6°·Rain 65%
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Kensington-Cedar Cottage weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Kensington-Cedar Cottage swings 22°C across the year, from 23°C highs in August to 1°C lows in February, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 2155 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 16 days a year at 25°C or above, 1 of them at 30°C or above, 33 frost nights, and rain on 162 days.

Warmest month
August
23°C average high
Coldest month
February
1°C average low
Wettest month
November
2155 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
49,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
American
88/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
16 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
33 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
162 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Kensington-Cedar Cottage’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Kensington-Cedar Cottage and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Kensington-Cedar Cottage hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Kensington-Cedar Cottage 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
10° 6°
models agree
Tomorrow
Heavy drizzle
13° 7°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
13° 7°
models agree
Tue
Showers
11° 7°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
9° 5°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
8° 4°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
7° 2°
±3°
Sat
Cloudy
8° 2°
±3°
Sun
Cloudy
10° 4°
±5°
Mon
Light rain
11° 6°
models agree
Tue
Heavy drizzle
12° 6°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
11° 7°
models agree
Thu
Heavy drizzle
11° 9°
±4°

Kensington-Cedar Cottage, British Columbia is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 23°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around 1°C), with roughly 2155 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Kensington-Cedar Cottage right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Kensington-Cedar Cottage climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
6°
2°
Feb
6°
1°
Mar
9°
2°
Apr
12°
6°
May
16°
8°
Jun
19°
12°
Jul
22°
14°
Aug
23°
15°
Sep
18°
12°
Oct
13°
8°
Nov
8°
4°
Dec
6°
2°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Kensington-Cedar Cottage has changed since 1995

Kensington-Cedar Cottage sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Vancouver. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Vancouver page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Kensington-Cedar Cottage?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
85±0.8°C93±3.5 km/h8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
86
/100rank #2
81±1.1°C91±4.7 km/h8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
74
/100rank #3
71±1.6°C93±3.7 km/h6581% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°9° to 11°±30%65% to 95% chance
Tomorrow±3°12° to 14°±41%55% to 96% chance
Mon±2°12° to 14°±38%14% to 52% chance
Tue±1°10° to 11°±49%32% to 81% chance
Wed±1°8° to 9°±12%55% to 67% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Kensington-Cedar Cottage

today, local time
Sunrise
07:47
Sunset
18:04
Daylight
10h 17m

Common questions

What's the weather in Kensington-Cedar Cottage today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 10° in Kensington-Cedar Cottage today. Tomorrow: heavy drizzle, around 13°, with a 96% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Kensington-Cedar Cottage today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Kensington-Cedar Cottage on Sunday, October 25: every model gives at least 55% (Env. Canada 96%, European 94%, American 55%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 95%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Kensington-Cedar Cottage?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Kensington-Cedar Cottage (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the European at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Kensington-Cedar Cottage?
August is typically the warmest month in Kensington-Cedar Cottage, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Kensington-Cedar Cottage get?
The coldest month in Kensington-Cedar Cottage is February, when overnight lows average about 1°C.
How much rain does Kensington-Cedar Cottage get?
Kensington-Cedar Cottage sees roughly 2155 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather